台湾地区政党体系的嬗变与重构:基于2024台湾地区“二合一”选举的观察  

The Transformation and Reconstruction of Taiwan's Political Party System:Observations Based on the 2024 Taiwan regional "Two-in-One"Election

作　　者：陈星 Chen Xing(Taiwan Research Institute of Beijing Union University;Beijing-Taiwan Cultural Exchange Research Center;Taiwan Research Center of Xiamen University)

机构地区：[1]北京联合大学台湾研究院 [2]京台文化交流研究中心 [3]厦门大学台湾研究中心

出　　处：《台海研究》2024年第1期28-37,共10页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“新时代推进祖国完全统一下两岸融合发展新路探索研究”(22JJD810021)。

摘　　要：2024年“二合一”选举结果对于台湾地区政党体系走向而言具有指标性意义。泛绿的基本盘已经稳定大于泛蓝,但双方整体支持度却遭遇压缩,以民众党为代表的第三势力则稳步扩张,台湾地区政党政治版图裂解与重构进入加速期。同时,青年选民群体的重要性进一步增加,交互式媒体对台湾地区政治动员的结构性影响逐渐显现,台湾地区政党版图进入碎片化时期,政党体系逐步向“不稳定的极化两党制”过渡。The results of the 2024 “two-in-one” election are indicative of the direction of Taiwan's political party system. While the Pan-Green Base has stabilized over the Pan-Blue, the overall support of both parties has been compressed, and the “Third Force” represented by the TPP has been steadily expanding, thus accelerating the disintegration and restructuring of Taiwan's political party landscape. At the same time, the importance of young voters has further increased, and the structural influence of interactive media on Taiwan's political mobilization has gradually emerged. Taiwan's political party landscape has entered a period of fragmentation. The party system is gradually transitioning to an “unstable polarized two-party system”.

关 键 词：2024台湾地区选举 蓝绿白政治板块 政党体系 第三势力 

分 类 号：D675.8[政治法律—政治学]