土地空间配置、地方政府债务分化与区域协调发展  

Spatial Allocation of Land,Differentiation of Local Government Debt and Coordinated Regional Development

作　　者：赵扶扬 刘睿智 ZHAO Fuyang;LIU Ruizhi(School of Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2024年第4期26-47,共22页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(72003211);国家自然科学基金专项项目(72342031);中央财经大学教师“思政+”专项支持基金(SZJ2210);中央财经大学青年科研创新团队支持计划的资助。

摘　　要：区域协调发展是实现中国经济高质量发展、推动中国式现代化的重要依托。2003年以来,中国城镇建设用地供给逐渐向中西部地区倾斜,明显缩小了东部和中西部的总产出与人均收入差距,但却推动了区域间的地方政府债务分化现象。本文构建了动态一般均衡模型,刻画了不同区域地方政府的内生最优行为,研究了地方政府债务的空间分布特性和地区发展差异。进一步地,本文聚焦土地和地方政府激励,探讨了缓解区域分化问题的要素配置方案。研究发现:现实中偏向中西部地区的土地配置可以缩小产出与人均收入的差距,但在地方政府内生激励与行为下会带来地方政府债务分化、房价分化、产出受限等问题。若仅推动土地要素向发达地区配置,尽管能够提高经济总体产出,却会加剧人均收入分化。只有同时推动土地和劳动力向优势地区集聚,才能在缩小地区间人均收入差距的同时,缓解地方政府债务分化、房价分化、资源配置效率低下等问题,实现多重政策目标。Efficient spatial allocation of national land resources is crucial for the successful implementation of a regional coordinated development strategy.Since the initiation of China’s reform and opening-up policy,the eastern coastal regions have taken the lead in entering a high-speed development trajectory.However,economic disparities between the eastern regions and other areas have increased.To address this issue,the 16th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed the“Regional Coordinated Development Strategy”after the Third Plenary Session,which marked the beginning of various resources,with land as a representative,shifting toward the central and western regions.During this process,the disparity in both total output and per capita income between the eastern and centralwestern regions decreased significantly,but it also led to regional differentiation in local government debt.This study constructs a dynamic general equilibrium model that includes elements such as land market,labor market,local governments,and local government debt.It depicts the endogenous optimal behavior of local governments in different regions and explores the spatial distribution characteristics of local government debt and regional development disparities.First,through qualitative analysis,this study reproduces the observed phenomenon of income per capita,housing prices,and regional total output differentiation since the inception of the reform and opening-up policy.It further explores the behavior patterns of local governments after the expansion of development disparities.It is found that local governments in the less developed central and western regions rely more on land finance compared with local governments in the developed eastern regions,resulting in higher debt pressure.They also depend more on infrastructure investment to drive local economic development.Furthermore,assuming restricted labor mobility across regions,the study simulates the allocation of land to less developed areas.The results reveal that desp

关 键 词：地方政府债务 土地空间配置 劳动力流动 区域分化 

分 类 号：F123[经济管理—世界经济]