2023年美韩联盟:回顾与展望  

The US-ROK Alliance in 2023:Review and Prospect

作　　者：凌胜利 杨帆 李成琛 Ling Shengli;Yang Fan;Li Chengchen(the Institute of International Relations,China Foreign Affairs Universit)

机构地区：[1]外交学院国际关系研究所

出　　处：《当代韩国》2024年第1期38-51,共14页Contemporary Korea

摘　　要：2023年,美韩联盟不断强化,在安全合作、战略协调、经贸合作等领域深化合作。这也使得美韩联盟“美主韩从”特点更加明显,呈现双边与多边交织发展的态势、实现了由区域向全球空间的拓展。美韩联盟深化不仅符合拜登政府的大国战略竞争需求,也符合尹锡悦政府的韩国战略转型需求。美韩两国政府在战略诉求上存在共识和共同利益,推动了联盟关系的强化。这会加剧地缘政治风险、导致朝鲜半岛无核化迟滞并激化韩国内部的对立。展望未来,美韩联盟强化进程并不会轻易改变,且其活动空间不再局限于朝鲜半岛,而是更有可能向区域联盟和全球联盟演变,其合作内容也不断拓展,但这些也会面临较大的不确定性。Since 2023,the US-ROK alliance has been continuously strengthened,deepeningg cooperation in many fields such as security cooperation,strategic coordination,economic and trade cooperation.These also make the US-ROK alliance more obvious in its"US-dominated and ROK-subordinate"character,showing the trend of bilateral and multilateral interwoven development,and realizing the expansion from regional to global space.The deepening of the US-ROK alliance is consistent not only with the Biden administration's need for great power strategic competition,but also with the Yoon Suk-yeol administration's need for strategic transformation in ROK.The existence of consensus and common interests between the US and ROK's governments on strategic aspirations drives the strengthening of the alliance.This could exacerbate geopolitical risks,lead to delays in denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula,and intensify ROK's internal rivalries.Looking ahead,the process of strengthening the USROK alliance will not be easily changed,the space for its activities will no longer be limited to the Korean Peninsula,but is more likely to evolve into a regional alliance and even a global alliance.The content of its cooperation will continue to expand,but these will also face greater uncertainty.

关 键 词：美韩联盟 “印太战略” 东北亚安全 联盟转型 

分 类 号：D831.2[政治法律—政治学]