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作 者:黄蓉蓉 高翔 徐然 杨翠红 Huang Rongrong;Gao Xiang;Xu Ran;Yang Cuihong(School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266520)
机构地区:[1]中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190 [3]青岛理工大学管理工程学院,青岛266520
出 处:《管理评论》2024年第2期14-26,共13页Management Review
基 金:国家自然科学基金青年项目(72103184),国家自然科学基金基础科学中心项目(71988101);国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA062)。
摘 要:当前,全球经济发展面临百年未有之大变局。在这一新的发展阶段,科学引导国内产业在不同区域间合理布局、分工协作,是加快构建“国内国际双循环”新发展格局的关键。新疆作为我国重要的能源资源大通道和初加工基地,在畅通“国内国际双循环”中将发挥日益重要的门户、中转和枢纽三重作用。本文基于投入产出框架下的产业转移价值量模型,对2012—2017年国内省份间产业转移价值量进行核算,对其中新疆典型的劳动密集型产业代表“纺织品”和资本密集型产业代表“金属冶炼和压延加工品”的转移路径进行异质性分析。研究表明:新疆以高就业为特征的劳动密集型产业,应当继续扩大中间投入驱动型和最终产品驱动型的产业转移价值量,形成扩大产业份额和延伸产业链双轮驱动的产业升级模式;以高能源资源为载荷特征的资本密集型行业,应当在稳定中间投入驱动型产业转移价值量的基础上,引导最终产品驱动型产业转移的增长,围绕资本密集型的核心产品、重点产品做好延链补链。Amidst the restructuring of the world order,China has proposed expediting the implementation of a“dual circulation”development pattern.One of the crucial strategies for achieving it is to scientifically guide the redistribution of domestic value chains across different regions.Moreover,as an essential conduit for energy and resources and a vital processing base for primary products in China,Xinjiang is playing an increasingly significant role as a gateway,transit point,and hub in the“dual circulation”development pattern.Thus,based on the proposed new measurements for industry relocation,this paper estimates the value of industry relocation between Xinjiang and other provinces in China from 2012 to 2017,exploring the heterogeneity of the relocation path for Xinjiang’s typical labor-intensive industry,“textiles”,and capital-intensive industry,“metal smelting and calendaring products”.Empirical findings show that,for labor-intensive industries with high employment,Xinjiang should continue to participate in industry relocation driven by both intermediate inputs and final products,and transform the industrial upgrading mode from the market share expansion to the industrial chain extension;for capital-intensive industries with high energy and resource inputs,the focus should primarily be on increasing industry relocation driven by final products,while also extending and complementing the industrial chain of core products.
关 键 词:产业转移 投入产出技术 新疆 纺织品 金属冶炼和压延加工品
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