数字贸易如何影响企业出口韧性  

How does Digital Trade Affect the Export Resilience of Enterprises

作　　者：曹宇芙 邓宗兵[1,2] 文江雪 CAO Yufu;DNEG Zongbing;WEN Jiangxue(School of Economics and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing,400715;Research Center for Inclusive Finance and Agricultural and Rural Development,Southwest University,Chongqing,400715;School of Law,Politics,and Business,Chongqing University of Science and Technology,Chongqing,401331)

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715 [2]西南大学普惠金融与农业农村发展研究中心,重庆400715 [3]重庆科技大学法政与经贸学院,重庆401331

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2024年第2期41-60,共20页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“中国农业地理集聚的生产率效应及其增强路径研究”(19YJA790005);重庆市社会科学规划项目“基于农户视角的重庆农村基本公共服务水平提升研究”(2021NDYB058);西南大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“中国农业地理集聚的生产率效应及其增进研究”(SWU2009221)。

摘　　要：面临外需收缩、供给冲击、人口红利衰减等压力,增强出口韧性是建设贸易强国的现实选择。本文使用2009—2016年中国企业数据,从抵御力、恢复力和转型升级力三个维度较为全面地刻画了出口韧性,重点考察了数字贸易对企业出口韧性的影响、作用机制和差异。研究发现,数字贸易对企业出口韧性具有显著促增效应,分维度作用效果由高到低依次为抵御力、恢复力和转型升级力。机制分析表明,数字贸易通过提升出口多样化水平、提高创新能力和降低进口依赖度增强企业出口韧性。异质性分析显示,数字贸易更有利于国有企业、大规模企业和一般贸易企业出口韧性增强,对所在地区数字贸易政策更完善、出口数字经济核心产品的企业出口韧性促进作用更强。To build a strong trading nation,it is essential to focus on improving export resilience in the face of challenges like demand contraction,supply shocks and diminishing demographic dividends.This study examined Chinese enterprise data from 2009 to 2016,and offered a comprehensive overview of export resilience in three dimensions:resistance,recovery,and transformation and upgrading.It investigated the impacts,mechanisms,and variations of digital trade on export resilience.The findings suggest that digital trade significantly enhances export resilience for enterprises,maintaining robustness.The effects of digital trade on different facets of export resilience follow the sequence of resistance,recovery,and transformation and upgrading.Mechanism analysis suggests that digital trade strengthens export resilience by promoting export diversification,improving innovation,and reducing import dependence.Heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that digital trade is more conductive for enhancing export resilience in state-owned,large-scale,and general trade enterprises.Furthermore,regions with comprehensive policies and enterprises exporting core digital products benefit more from digital trade in terms of export resilience.

关 键 词：数字贸易 出口韧性 出口多样化 创新能力 进口依赖度 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]