产业链嵌入与双边经济联动  

Industrial Chain Embedding and Economic Comovement

作　　者：杨继军 陈启斐[2] YANG Jijun;CHEN Qifei(School of Public Finance and Taxation,Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210023;School of International Economics and Trade,Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210023)

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学财政与税务学院,江苏南京210023 [2]南京财经大学国际经贸学院,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2024年第2期99-117,共19页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：中宣部宣传思想文化青年英才项目“数字技术赋能全球供应链分工的机制与优化路径研究”(项目编号:009);国家社会科学基金项目“信息技术赋能中国对外贸易高质量发展的机制与路径研究”(21BJY052);江苏省社会科学基金青年项目“新发展格局下以创新链驱动江苏服务业高质量发展研究”(21EYC004)。

摘　　要：本文拓展上游度和产业链步长理论,利用WIOD数据库测度双边产业链嵌入程度,并在此基础上研究产业链嵌入对双边经济联动的影响。研究结果显示:产业链嵌入程度的加深整体上可以显著促进两国经济联动;产业链嵌入程度每提高1%,经济联动水平提高0.088%,这种影响主要体现在中高收入国家向低收入国家延伸产业链的情况,即低收入国家专业化在产业链的下游环节。区分嵌入类型后发现,无论是前向关联还是后向关联都可以实现双边经济协同发展;产业链嵌入程度加深有利于改善贸易条件,进而实现双边经济的协同发展。This paper developed the theory of upstreamness and industrial chain length to quantify the effect of industrial chain embedding on bilateral economic comovemen by WIOD database.Empirical results show that:industrial chain embedding has an economically and statistically significant impact on economic comovement.1% increase in the industrial chain embedding leads 0.088% increase in economic comovement.This effect is mainly reflected in the extension of the industrial chain from middle and high income countries to low-iincome countries.It indicates that low-income countries specialize in the downstream stage of the industrial chain.After separating the embedding types,it is found that both forward linkage and backward linkage can increase bilateral economic comovement.In addition,the industrial chain embedding can increase economic comovement through terms of trade.

关 键 词：产业链嵌入 经济联动 前向关联 后向关联 

分 类 号：F753[经济管理—国际贸易]