风险认知、生计资本与农户宅基地退出意愿研究——以兰州市八里镇移民安置区农户为例  

Risk Perception,Livelihood Capital and Rural Households'Withdrawal Willingness of Homestead——A Case Study of Farmers in the Migrant Settlement Area of Bari Town,Lanzhou City

作　　者：朱莉[1] 韩秀丽[2] Zhu Li;Han Xiuli(School of Agriculture,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750000,Ningxia;School of Economics and Management,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750000,Ningxia)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学农学院,宁夏银川750000 [2]宁夏大学经济管理学院,宁夏银川750000

出　　处：《农业展望》2024年第4期19-26,共8页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(23BJY152);宁夏回族自治区哲学社会科学规划项目(22NXBYJ01,20NXBGL03)。

摘　　要：农户自愿有偿退出宅基地对深化农村改革影响深远。研究风险认知对农户宅基地退出意愿的影响,以及生计资本在风险认知影响农户宅基地退出意愿中的调节作用,引导农户自愿有偿退出宅基地,提高农村土地资源利用效率,对促进城乡融合发展、推动乡村振兴战略实施具有重要现实意义。本研究基于兰州市八里镇移民安置区农户调研数据,利用二元Logit模型和调节效应模型,理论分析并实证检验了风险认知与生计资本对农户宅基地退出意愿的影响,进而分析生计资本在其中发挥的调节作用。研究结果表明,农户在宅基地退出决策中具有显著的规避风险的意识,农户在宅基地退出中产生的风险认知对退出意愿有负向作用,而生计资本则对农户宅基地退出意愿有正向作用;此外,生计资本还可以缓解农户宅基地退出意愿中的风险认知。基于此,加快推进农户宅基地自愿有偿退出,应完善农户宅基地退出后的各项保障政策、引导农户树立正确科学的风险意识以及构建差别化的宅基地退出机制。The voluntary and compensated withdrawal of farm households from homesteads has a far-reaching impact on deepening rural reform.It is of great practical significance to study the impact of risk perception on the willingness of farm households to withdraw from homesteads and the moderating role of livelihood capital in the impact of risk perception on the willingness of farm households to withdraw from homesteads,so as to guide farm households to voluntarily withdraw from homesteads in a compensated way and to improve the efficiency of the utilization of rural land resources,which is of great practical significance to the promotion of urban-rural integration and development,as well as the promotion of rural revitalization.Based on the research data of farmers in the migrant resettlement area of Bali township,Lanzhou city,the article theoretically analyzed and empirically tested the influence of risk perception and livelihood capital on farmers'willingness to withdraw from homesteads and the moderating role played by livelihood capital using the binary Logit model and moderating effect model.The results showed that farmers have significant awareness of risk avoidance in homestead withdrawal decision-making,and the risk perception generated by farmers in homestead withdrawal has a negative effect on withdrawal intention,while livelihood capital has a positive effect on farmers'homestead withdrawal intention;moreover,livelihood capital can also reduce the risk perception in farmers'homestead withdrawal intention.Based on this,in order to accelerate the voluntary and compensated withdrawal of farmers'homesteads,it is necessary to improve the policy of guaranteeing the withdrawal of farmers'homesteads,to guide farmers to establish a correct and scientific awareness of risk,and to build a differentiated mechanism for the withdrawal of homesteads.

关 键 词：风险认知 生计资本 宅基地退出意愿 移民安置区 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济] F323.8