创新型人力资本对产业结构升级影响的实证研究--基于技术进步的中介效应  

EMPIRICAL STUDY ON IMPACTS OF INNOVATIVE HUMAN CAPITAL ON INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURAL UPGRADING BASED ON MEDIATING EFFECT OF TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS

作　　者：尹庆民[1] 戴敏 YIN Qingmin;DAI Min(Business School,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《资源与产业》2024年第2期124-140,共17页Resources & Industries

摘　　要：在绿色高质量发展的时代背景下,技术创新带来的技术进步是人力资本引导产业结构调整的重要驱动力。基于2005—2020年我国30个省份的面板数据,以技术进步为中介变量建立中介效应回归模型,通过全区域和分区域回归分析,研究创新型人力资本通过技术进步传导路径影响产业结构转型升级的作用机制。研究表明:1)各区域产业结构布局仍存在较大提升空间,都有增加教育、科技投资以提升创新型人力资本存量和质量从而推动产业结构调整升级的需求,且越是经济发达地区,在推动产业结构调整时对创新型人力资本的存量和质量要求越高。2)创新型人力资本能够显著促进全区域范围内技术进步,而欠发达地区创新型人力资本的技术进步效应要明显优于发达地区,发展落后地区创新型人力资本的技术进步效应不明显。3)创新型人力资本可以通过技术进步完全中介效应推动区域整体产业结构合理化发展,但不利于产业结构高级化。分区域来看,发达地区自主创新能力强,自主创新对创新型人力资本提出的高要求会弱化创新型人力资本对产业结构调整升级的间接效应,强化创新型人力资本对产业结构调整升级的直接效应,从而以遮掩效应呈现创新型人力资本对产业结构的间接效应;较发达地区通过技术进步中介效应呈现创新型人力资本对产业结构的间接效应,但因主要以吸收领悟外来技术和在此基础上的模仿创新为技术进步来源,间接效应程度稍低;欠发达地区因“西部大开发”的政策效应驱动,创新型人力资本能够直接影响产业结构调整升级。4)进一步探究创新型人力资本对产业结构调整升级的潜在影响机制,发现投资率对除中部地区以外的创新型人力资本影响产业结构调整升级均具有显著的正向调节效应,金融发展水平对除西部地区以外的创新型人力资本影响�Under the green high-quality development,technological innovation brings technological advance which is a critical drive for human capital to lead industrial structure adjustment.This paper,based on 2005 to 2020 panel data of China's 30 provinces,establishes a mediating effect regression model with technological advance as mediating variable,which is employed to study the whole region and each single region.Innovative human capital can improve industrial structural upgrading through technological progress.Each region needs to improve its industrial structural layout through increasing educational and technological investment to improve innovative human capital quality and quantity and then push industrial structural upgrading.Industrial structural adjustment requires a higher quality and quantity in human capital in more developed areas.Innovative human capital can largely promote technological advances in the whole region,but more in the underdeveloped areas where there are less technological advancing effects.Innovative new human capital can promote a rationalized development of industrial structure in the whole region by means of complete mediating effect,but unfavorable for industrial upgrading.In developed regions where there is better self-innovative capacity,a higher requirement of self-innovation on innovative human capital will weaken the indirect effect of innovative human capital on industrial structural adjustment,and intensify the direct effect,showing an indirect effect of innovative human capital on industrial structure by masking effect.In less-developed regions,innovative human capital has an indirect effect on industrial structure through the mediating effect of technological advance,mainly from understanding,adopting and copying imported technologies with lower indirect effect.Driven by the Western Development Strategy,innovative human capital can directly impact industrial structural upgrading in underdeveloped regions.The potential impacting mechanism of innovative human capital on industrial

关 键 词：创新型人力资本 产业结构合理化 产业结构高级化 技术进步 中介效应 调节效应 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] F249.2