地震巨灾对产业链的冲击影响风险评估  

Risk Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Impact on Industrial Chain

作　　者：丛鹏里 曹井泉[1] 姚新强[1] 林逸 刘红艳[1] 纪静[1] 李芳芳 Cong Pengli;Cao Jingquan;Yao Xinqiang;Lin Yi;Liu Hongyan;Ji jing;Li Fangfang(Softsoil Engineering Earthquake Research Center,Tianjin Earthquake Agency,Tianjin 300201,China;Tianjin Key Laboratory of Civil Structure Protection and Reinforcement,Tianjin Chengjian University,Tianjin 300384,China)

机构地区：[1]天津市地震局,软土工程地震研究中心,天津300201 [2]天津城建大学,天津市土木建筑结构防护与加固重点实验室,天津300384

出　　处：《震灾防御技术》2024年第1期37-51,共15页Technology for Earthquake Disaster Prevention

基　　金：国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3082100);地震科技星火计划(XH23004YA);天津市科技计划(23JCQNJC00910)。

摘　　要：保障产业链安全稳定、具备抗灾韧性,成为我国经济高质量发展的重要基础,因此基于已收集整理的全球大震巨灾对产业链冲击影响资料,梳理分析地震灾害对不同行业及产业链的影响,尤其是针对地震巨灾对产业链影响的特征及要素进行研究。基于全球地震巨灾对产业链的冲击影响研究,通过量化方式给出产业链地震灾害风险评估水平及不同产业链震后恢复能力,并提出产业链地震安全保障举措建议,为研究我国产业链地震敏感性提供参考。Ensuring the safety,stability,and resilience of the industrial chain is crucial for the high-quality development of China's economy.Therefore,based on the collected and organized data on the impact of global earthquake disasters on the industrial chain,this study examines the impact of earthquake disasters on the different industry and industrial chain,especially the characteristics and elements of the impact of earthquake disasters on the industrial chain.Drawing from the examination of the impact of global earthquake disasters on the industrial chain,this study quantitatively provides the level of earthquake risk assessment for the industrial chain,along with the post-earthquake recovery capabilities of different industrial chains.Additionally,this study presents measures and suggestions for ensuring earthquake safety within the industrial chain,providing a basis for investigating the earthquake sensitivity of China's industrial chain in China.

关 键 词：产业链 地震巨灾 自然灾害 风险评估 恢复能力 

分 类 号：P315.9[天文地球—地震学] F113[天文地球—固体地球物理学]