基于灰色模糊理论的铁路煤炭调运分流业务评价方法  

Evaluation Method for Railway Coal Dispatching Based on Grey Fuzzy Theory

作　　者：柴杨 CHAI Yang(Suning Office,China Energy Trading Group Co.,Ltd.,Cangzhou 062350,Hebei,China)

机构地区：[1]国能销售集团有限公司肃宁办事处,河北沧州062350

出　　处：《铁道货运》2024年第5期53-62,共10页Railway Freight Transport

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(71631007)。

摘　　要：铁路调运分流是煤炭一体化运营模式的核心。针对煤炭调运分流业务,从经济效益、社会效益、运行效率、计划执行和特殊调运等方面,建立业务评价指标体系;采用灰色模糊评价模型,建立煤炭调运分流业务评价方法;通过调运业务实证分析,对评价方法进行验证。研究结果表明,未充分考虑卸车站点的卸车能力,容易造成卸车站点重车积压;在处理特殊情况时,临时调运需求会导致整体兑现率下降。因此,建议在满足重要计划指标的同时,合理牺牲其他指标的完成率,以获得更高的整体评价。此外,调运业务影响因素复杂,建议提升调运工作的信息化程度,灵活调整调运计划,从而提高调度分流效率。Dispatching is the core of the integrated coal operation business.This paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for coal dispatching,encompassing economic benefits,social benefits,operational efficiency indicators,plan execution,and special requirements.Employing a grey fuzzy evaluation model,it established an evaluation method for the coal dispatching business and validated the method through empirical analysis.The research results indicate that insufficient consideration of the unloading capacity of unloading stations can easily lead to heavy vehicle backlogs at the unloading stations.When dealing with special situations,temporary transportation needs can lead to a decrease in the overall fulfillment rate.Therefore,it is recommended to judiciously sacrifice completion rates of less critical indicators to achieve a higher overall evaluation.Additionally,due to the complexity of dispatching business factors,enhancing the informatization level of dispatching work and flexibly adjusting dispatching plans are suggested to improve efficiency.

关 键 词：煤炭调运 评价指标 指标赋值方法 灰色模糊评价模型 分流计划评价 

分 类 号：U294.88[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]