基于马尔可夫链模型的电磁行为预测模拟方法研究  

Electromagnetic behavior prediction method based on Markov chain model

作　　者：苗锡奎 魏勋[1] 张德欣[1] 袁翔宇[1] Miao Xikui;Wei Xun;Zhang Dexin;Yuan Xiangyu(Unit 63891 of PLA,Luoyang 471003,Henan,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民解放军63891部队,河南洛阳471003

出　　处：《航天电子对抗》2024年第2期11-15,33,共6页Aerospace Electronic Warfare

摘　　要：根据电子对抗动态博弈特点,将电子对抗双方动态博弈过程抽象为马尔可夫过程,将马尔可夫链引入到电子对抗电磁行为预测模拟中,构建了基于马尔可夫链模型的电磁环境构建装备行为预测模拟模型。首先,对电子对抗双方行为状态空间进行建模;其次,根据“对抗规则/策略”建立了电子对抗行为状态转移模型,并结合模拟对抗数据,给出了行为状态转移概率矩阵,构建形成了马尔可夫链模型;最后,以雷达干扰模拟计算、通信干扰模拟计算为案例,对所提出的方法进行了验证,结果表明,该方法能够有效预测动态博弈条件下的电子对抗行为状态转移概率,能够为复杂电磁环境模拟和电磁环境预测提供有益指导。ed as a Markov process,the Markov chain is intro-duced into the electromagnetic behavior prediction of the electronic countermeasure equipment,and a simulation model of electromagnetic environment construction equipment behavior prediction based on Markov chain model is built.Firstly,the state space of the equipment is modeled based on equipment behavior.Secondly,according to the“adversarial rules/strategy”,the equipment state transition model is established,the state transition probabil-ity matrix is given according to the historical data,and the Markov chain model is constructed.Finally,the pro-posed method is verified in the cases of simulation calculation of radar jamming and communication jamming.Re-sults show that the proposed method can effectively predict the state transition probability of electromagnetic envi-ronment construction equipment in dynamic game conditions,and provide useful guidance for the simulation of complex electromagnetic environment and the prediction of electromagnetic environment.

关 键 词：电子对抗 马尔可夫链 电磁行为预测 电磁环境构建 

分 类 号：TP391.41[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]