多学科视角下国际金融危机传染研究新进展  

New Progress on International Financial Crisis Contagion from a Multidisciplinary Perspective

作　　者：武占云 董昀[2] 单菁菁[1] WU Zhanyun;DONG Yun;SHAN Jingjing(Research Institute for Eco-Civilization,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100710,China;Institute of Finance&Banking,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100710,China)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院生态文明研究所,北京100710 [2]中国社会科学院金融研究所,北京100710

出　　处：《北京工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第3期87-100,共14页Journal of Beijing University of Technology (Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(41801115);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71973111)。

摘　　要：从多学科视角梳理了国际金融危机传染的新进展。研究发现,主流经济学以“理性-均衡”框架为基础强调基于经济基本面和金融贸易联系的传染机制;新近发展起来的叙事经济学强调非理性因素对金融危机传染的影响,初步论证了“经济叙事”与金融危机之间的双向因果关系,为金融危机传染提供了新的学科视野;经济地理学将“距离”和“空间”概念纳入主流经济学研究框架中,为验证金融危机的空间溢出效应提供了新的方法和手段。鉴于国际经贸格局调整、全球气候变化、地缘政治冲突等外生冲击推动全球金融风险和不确定性持续上升,提出深化研究的进路和方向,包括加强跨学科协同研究、积极应对全球不确定性冲击,以及探究统筹经济发展与金融安全的有效路径等。Through literature review,we found that there are abundant theoretical research results on the contagion of international financial crisis from multidisciplinary perspectives,with mainstream economics emphasizing the contagion mechanism based on economic fundamentals and financial trade linkages based on the rational-equilibrium framework;the newly developed narrative economics emphasizes the influence of irrational factors on the contagion of financial crisis,initially argues the causal relationship between"economic narrative"and financial crisis,and provides a new disciplinary perspective for financial crisis contagion;economic geography incorporates the concepts of"distance"and"space"into the framework of mainstream economics,providing a new method and means to verify the spatial spillover effect of financial crisis.Given that exogenous shocks,such as adjustments in the international economic and trade landscape,global climate change and geopolitical conflicts,have contributed to the continued rise in global financial risks and uncertainties,it is proposed to deepen the approach and direction of the research,including strengthening interdisciplinary synergistic research,proactively responding to the shocks of global uncertainty,and exploring an effective path for integrating economic development and financial security.

关 键 词：金融危机 传染 主流经济学 叙事经济学 经济地理学 

分 类 号：F015[经济管理—政治经济学]