基于DCGE模型的我国数字经济对收入分配影响研究  

Research on the Impact of Chinas Digital Economy on Income Distribution Based on A DCGE Model

作　　者：雷心悦 李德轩 杜丽群[1] Lei Xinyue;Li Dexuan;Du Liqun

机构地区：[1]北京大学经济学院,北京100871

出　　处：《区域经济评论》2024年第3期89-97,共9页Regional Economic Review

摘　　要：数字技术已成为当今社会经济发展的重要驱动力,数字产业逐渐成为国民经济的基础性、战略性和先导性产业。编制包含数字经济的SAM表,构建动态可计算一般均衡(DCGE)模型,模拟分析数字经济发展程度对收入分配的影响,可以发现:第一,企业的数字化程度越高,传统劳动报酬占比越低,而数字劳动报酬占比越高;第二,随着数字化程度的提升,劳动者总收入和行业间收入差距均呈现倒“U”型关系;第三,数字经济发展可分为两个阶段,发展初期和相对成熟期,且不同阶段具有不同的特点。Digital technology has emerged as a pivotal force in modern economic development,with the digital sector increasingly becoming a foundational,strategic,and leading component of the national economy.This paper develops a Social Accounting Matrix(SAM)that incorporates the digital economy and constructs a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium(DCGE)model to simulate the effects of the digital economy’s development on income distribution.The findings reveal that a higher degree of corporate digitalization correlates with a lower share of traditional labor remuneration and a higher share of digital labor remuneration.Furthermore,the study indicates that the progression of digitalization results in an“inverted U-shaped”relationship both in the total income of workers and the income disparities across industries.The research identifies two distinct phases of digital economy development,namely initial development period and maturation stage,each characterized by unique attributes.

关 键 词：动态可计算一般均衡模型 数字经济 收入分配 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]