政府参与危险品物流安全协同保障系统演化博弈研究  

Research on Evolutionary Game of Government Participating in Coordination Guarantee System of Dangerous Goods Logistics Safety

作　　者：张广胜 徐旭[2] ZHANG Guang-sheng;XU Xu(Business School,Shandong Management University,Jinan 250357,China;Business School,Shanghai Dianji University,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]山东管理学院工商学院,山东济南250357 [2]上海电机学院商学院,上海201306

出　　处：《系统科学学报》2024年第1期97-103,共7页Chinese Journal of Systems Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY227);山东管理学院博士科研启动基金。

摘　　要：为研究政府参与危险品物流安全协同保障系统影响因素及内在机理,采用演化博弈理论分别构建政府企业、危险品委托企业与物流企业之间多方演化博弈模型,探讨安全协同系统构建参与主体均衡策略选择,分析政府参与危险品物流安全协同保障系统演化博弈稳定性。研究结果表明,政府对企业的策略选择是影响决策的重要因素,政府积极推进策略建立起良好的政企互动机制,有利于危险品物流安全协同保障系统的合作演化;危险品委托企业与物流企业协同保障策略选择、投入成本对系统演化具有重要影响,较低安全成本促使双方期望收益高于不进行安全投入期望收益,因此有效降低物流安全协同保障系统构建投入成本是促使两者进行安全投入的关键。In order to analyze influencing factors and inner mechanism of government participating in coordination guarantee system of dangerous goods logistics safety,evolutionary game theory was used to construct multi-party evolutionary game models among government enterprises,dangerous goods entrusted enterprises and logistics enterprises.Equilibrium strategy choice of participating entities of security coordination system was discussed,and evolutionary game stability of government participating in coordination guarantee system of dangerous goods logistics safety was analyzed.The results show that strategy choice of government is an important factor for decision-making.Government's active promotion strategies,that establish a good political-enterprise interaction mechanism,are conducive to cooperative evolution of coordination guarantee system of dangerous goods logistics safety.Strategic choice and input cost of coordination guarantee between dangerous goods entrusted enterprise and logistics enterprise have an important influence on the system evolution.Lower security cost can cause both parties to higher expect returns than that without safety investment,so effectively reducing input cost of logistics safety coordination guarantee system is the key to promoting safety investment.

关 键 词：危险品物流安全 政府 协同保障 演化博弈 均衡策略 

分 类 号：N949[自然科学总论—系统科学]