基于未确知测度方法的装配式建筑吊装风险研究  

Research on Hoisting Risk of Prefabricated Buildings Based on Unascertained Measurement Method

作　　者：姚静[1] 姜安民 董彦辰[1] 王飞飞 张福天 YAO Jing;JIANG Anmin;DONG Yanchen;WANG Feifei;ZHANG Futian(Department of Management Engineering,Hunan Urban Construction College,Xiangtan Hunan 411104,China;School of Resource Environment and Safety Engineering,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan Hunan 411201,China;School of Civil Engineering,Hunan City University,Yiyang Hunan 413000,China;The 9th Engineering Co.,Ltd.of CCCC First Highway Engineering Group Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou Guangdong 511340,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南城建职业技术学院管理工程系,湖南湘潭411104 [2]湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院,湖南湘潭411201 [3]湖南城市学院土木工程学院,湖南益阳413000 [4]中交一公局集团第九工程有限公司,广东广州511340

出　　处：《安全》2024年第4期42-47,共6页Safety & Security

基　　金：湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(21C0997;21B0856);湖南建工集团科技计划项目(JGJTK2021-20)。

摘　　要：为实现对装配式建筑吊装风险的科学评价,基于AHP-熵组合赋权的未确知测度方法提出装配式建筑吊装风险量化评价方法。首先,遵循“4M1E”原则对风险因素进行梳理,从“人、物、技、环、管”5个方面对装配式建筑吊装风险因素进行识别,建立风险量化评价指标体系;然后,运用AHP计算评价指标主观权重,熵权法计算评价指标客观权重,结合最小熵原理计算组合权重,基于该权重与未确知测度方法提出装配式建筑吊装风险量化评价方法;最后,对湖南地区某装配式住宅项目进行实例研究。研究表明:该项目吊装总体风险判定为c4级(风险较小)。AHP-熵组合赋权未确知测度方法的可操作性较强,可用于装配式建筑吊装风险的量化评价。In order to realize the scientific evaluation of the hoisting risk of prefabricated buildings,the quantitative evaluation method of prefabricated buildings is proposed based on the unascertained measurement method of AHP-entropy combination empowerment.The risk quantification evaluation index system has been established following the principle of“4M1E”,the risk factors were preliminarily sorted out,and the risk factors of prefabricated building hoisting were identified from five aspects:“human,material,technology,environment,and management”.The quantitative evaluation method of prefabricated building hoisting risk is proposed based on the weight and unascertained measurement method.The subjective weight of evaluation indicators is calculated using AHP.The objective weight of evaluation indicators is calculated using the entropy weight method.The combination weight is calculated based on the principle of minimum entropy.Taking a prefabricated residential project in Hunan Province as an example for research.The study shows that the overall risk of the project’s lifting is classified as Level c 4(with relatively low risk).The AHP-entropy combination weight empowerment method is highly operable and can be used for the quantitative evaluation of the hoisting risk of prefabricated buildings.

关 键 词：AHP-熵组合赋权 未确知测度方法 装配式建筑 吊装风险 量化评价 

分 类 号：X948[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TU714[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]