中国对外贸易发展质量地区差异的收敛性分析  

Convergence Analysis of the Regional Difference in China's Foreign Trade Development Quality

作　　者：何莉 罗佳楠 HE Li;LUO Jianan(Hunan University of Technology and Business,Changsha 410025,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南工商大学,湖南长沙410025

出　　处：《商业观察》2024年第14期21-25,共5页BUSINESS OBSERVATION

基　　金：湖南省社科评审委课题(XSP22YBC273);湖南省学位与研究生教学改革研究项目(2022JGSZ085)。

摘　　要：借鉴新古典增长理论的收敛概念,文章运用空间计量经济模型分析了中国对外贸易质量发展省际差异的收敛性。2002—2021年间,中国对外贸易发展质量省际差异不存在σ收敛和β绝对收敛,也不存在β条件收敛,而是出现了显著的发散。与此同时,中国对外贸易发展质量省际差异表现出部分“俱乐部”收敛的特征:东部地区外贸发展质量内部差异表现出收敛的趋势,但地区之间并不存在收敛。对外贸易质量发展省际差异较大,有碍区域经济协调发展。因此,我们应采取切实措施,增强地区间外贸发展的可持续性、平衡性与包容性。Inspired by the concept of convergence of neoclassical growth theory,this paper uses spatial econometric model to analyse the convergence of China’s regional difference in foreign trade development quality.During 2002 to 2021,there is noσ-convergence,absoluteβ-convergence and conditionalβ-convergence,but significant divergence.Meanwhile,there is also a characteristic of club convergence.The differences in the quality of foreign trade development within the eastern region show a steady narrowing trend.That means convergence,but there is no convergence between regions.The quality development of foreign trade varies greatly among provinces,which hinders the coordinated development of regional economy.Therefore,we should take practical measures to enhance the inclusiveness,balance,and sustainability of foreign trade development between regions.

关 键 词：Σ收敛 Β收敛 “俱乐部”收敛 外贸发展质量 空间计量经济模型 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]