人口集聚对城市经济韧性的影响研究  

A Study on the Impact of Population Agglomeration on Urban Economic Resilience

作　　者：王丽[1,2,3] 宋宝琳 宋凤轩[1,2,3] WANG Li;SONG Bao-lin;SONG Feng-xuan(School of Management,Hebei University,Baoding Hebei 071000,China;The Center for Common Prosperity Research,Hebei University,Baoding Hebei 071000,China;The Center for New-qualitative Productivity Development,Hebei University,Baoding Hebei 071000,China)

机构地区：[1]河北大学管理学院,河北保定071000 [2]河北大学共同富裕研究中心,河北保定071000 [3]河北大学新质生产力发展研究中心,河北保定071000

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2024年第5期84-89,共6页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：河北大学雄安新区专项研究项目(2023HXA013)。

摘　　要：伴随城乡二元结构的逐渐打破,人口自由流动产生的人口集聚成为影响城市经济韧性的重要因素。选取2012—2022年中国城市数据,在厘清人口集聚与城市经济韧性之间内在逻辑关系的基础上,实证检验二者间的因果关系及其存在的空间效应。研究结果表明:人口集聚对城市经济韧性具有显著的正向提升作用;人口集聚可以通过人力资本升级和产业多样化来间接提升城市经济韧性;不同地区的人口集聚对城市经济韧性的影响呈现出显著的区域异质性;人口集聚对城市经济韧性的影响具有空间外溢性,能够间接提升邻近城市的经济韧性。With the gradual breaking of the urban-rural dual structure,the population agglomeration generated by free population mobility has become an important factor affecting the resilience of urban economy.Based on the data of cities in China from 2012 to 2022,this study clarifies the inherent logical relationship between population agglomeration and urban economic resilience,and empirically tests the causal relationship and spatial effects between the two.The research results indicate that:Population agglomeration has a significant positive effect on urban economic resilience.Population agglomeration can indirectly enhance urban economic resilience through the upgrading of human capital and industrial diversification.The impact of population agglomeration in different regions on urban economic resilience shows significant regional heterogeneity.The impact of population agglomeration on urban economic resilience has spatial spillover effects,which can indirectly enhance the economic resilience of neighboring cities.

关 键 词：人口集聚 城市经济韧性 人力资本 产业多样化 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]