基于系统动力学模型的造纸企业水平衡测试结果诊断  

Diagnosis of Test Results for Water Balance in Paper Manufacturing Enterprises Based on System Dynamics Models

作　　者：马素英 范雷雷 刘长燕 MA Suying;FAN Leilei;LIU Changyan(Hebei Water Conservancy Research Institute,Shijiazhuang 050057,China;Hebei Agricultural Water-Saving Technology Innovation Center,Shijiazhuang 050057,China;Hebei Water Science and Technical Service Co.,Ltd.,Shijiazhuang 050057,China)

机构地区：[1]河北省水利科学研究院,河北石家庄050057 [2]河北省农业节水技术创新中心,河北石家庄050057 [3]河北水科工程技术服务有限公司,河北石家庄050057

出　　处：《水资源开发与管理》2024年第5期16-22,共7页Water Resources Development and Management

摘　　要：本文以玖龙纸业(河北)有限公司水平衡测试为例,借助系统动力学方法构建测试结果诊断模型,合理分析企业用水现状。结果表明,该模型可实现诊断方法可视化,可信度较高;模型选取的测试结果指标模拟值与计算值的误差均保持在10%以内,能真实反映企业用水水平;该企业各项用水指标均符合有关用水标准要求,用水水平较为先进。研究结果可为企业水平衡测试结果的精准估算提供技术支撑。This paper takes the water balance test of Jiulong Paper(Hebei)Co.,Ltd.as an example and constructs a diagnostic model of the test results using system dynamics methods to analyze the current water usage situation of the company reasonably.The results indicate that the model can achieve visualization of the diagnostic method with relatively high reliability.The errors between the simulated values and calculated values of the selected test result indicators in the model all remain within 10%,which can accurately reflect the company’s water usage level.All water usage indicators of the company meet the relevant water usage standards,indicating an advanced water usage level.The research results can provide technical support for the accurate estimation of water balance test results for companies.

关 键 词：水平衡测试 系统动力学 用水水平 用水指标 精准估算 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]