黄河流域水资源超载地区和短缺地区的判定与动态管理  

The determination and dynamic management of water resources overloaded and scarce areas in the Yellow River basin

作　　者：牛存稳[1] 党素珍[2] 孙响铃 郝春沣[1] Niu Cunwen;Dang Suzhen;Sun Xiangling;Hao Chunfeng

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038 [2]黄河水利委员会黄河水利科学研究院,郑州450003

出　　处：《中国水利》2024年第9期39-44,共6页China Water Resources

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目“黄河水源涵养区环境变化的径流效应及水资源预测”之课题五“流域水安全和生态环境趋势与风险综合调控”(2021YFC3201105)。

摘　　要：黄河流域水资源短缺,而能源富集,工业用水需求强劲,水资源开发利用率高达80%,如何协调生态保护和高质量发展的关系,实现对水资源超载地区、短缺地区的动态管理,至关重要。在分析水资源承载能力的概念定义和内涵发展的基础上,总结了水资源超载地区和短缺地区的定义和判定标准,对黄河流域九省(自治区)进行了综合研判,并从水资源刚性约束、水资源监测和管控策略等方面提出了水资源动态管理的关键措施,以期为黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展国家战略的水安全保障提供决策参考。The Yellow River basin faces water scarcity,yet it boasts abundant energy resources,strong industrial water demand,and an impressive 80%utilization rate of water resources.Balancing ecological protection with high-quality development and achieving dynamic management of water resources in overloaded and scarce areas is crucial.Based on an analysis of the conceptual definition and connotation development of water resources carrying capacity,this paper summarizes the definitions and judgment criteria of overloaded and scarce areas.It conducts comprehensive research and assessment on nine provinces in the Yellow River basin,proposing key measures for dynamically managing water resources,including rigid constraints,monitoring systems,and control strategies.The aim is to provide decisionmaking support for ensuring water security in line with the national strategy of ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River basin.

关 键 词：黄河流域 超载地区 短缺地区 水资源动态管理 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]