京津冀地区能源消费网络及路径识别研究  

Research on energy consumption network and path identification in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

作　　者：陈炜明 张振军 杨欣航 Chen Weiming;Zhang Zhenjun;Yang Xinhang(Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;Beijing Key Lab of Energy Economics and Environmental Management,Beijing 100081,China;School of Management and Economics,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心,北京100081 [2]能源经济与环境管理北京市重点实验室,北京100081 [3]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081

出　　处：《煤炭经济研究》2024年第2期74-81,共8页Coal Economic Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(72004011);北京理工大学研究生科研水平和创新能力提升专项计划(2023YCXY056)。

摘　　要：首先采用投入产出模型厘清了京津冀实体及隐含能源转移网络,其次采用结构路径分析模型识别了京津冀地区能源消费的关键供应链传导路径。研究发现:京津冀地区煤类能源主要依赖山西和内蒙古;部门关联程度较强的部门为“建筑业”“交通运输、仓储及邮政和电信业”;关键的供应链节点大多产生于本地的“金属矿采选业”“交通运输、仓储及邮政和电信业”“批发零售及住宿餐饮业”。研究结论将为京津冀实现能源转型协调发展提供政策建议。Firstly,using an input-output model,the study clarified the tangible and implicit energy transfer networks in the BeijingTianjin-Hebei region.Finally,employing a structural path analysis model,the study identified key supply chain transmission paths in the region's energy consumption.The research findings indicate that the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region heavily relies on coal energy from Shanxi and Inner Mongolia.Sectors with strong interconnections include“Construction”,“Transportation,Warehousing,Post,and Telecommunications.”Critical supply chain nodes are primarily associated with local sectors such as“Metal Ore Mining,”“Transportation,Warehousing,Post,and Telecommunications,”and“Wholesale,Retail,Accommodation,and Catering.”The conclusions of the study will provide policy recommendations for the coordinated development and energy transition in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

关 键 词：能源转移 能源消费关键路径 京津冀地区 投入产出分析 结构路径分析 

分 类 号：F416.21[经济管理—产业经济]