新型冠状病毒感染预测模型概述  

Overview of COVID-19 prediction model

作　　者：储修杰 宋丹丹[1] 侯赛[1] 肖永康[1] 陈秀芝 储娜 李明 魏鸿园 朱标 马婉婉[1] 祝茜 孙袁芳 冯玉杰 聂爽 毕念念 朱梦 李青[1] 龚磊[1] 吴家兵[1] CHU Xiujie;SONG Dandan;HOU Sai;XIAO Yongkang;CHEN Xiuzhi;CHU Na;LI Ming;WEI Hongyuan;ZHU Biao;MA Wanwan;ZHU Qian;SUN Yuanfang;FENG Yujie;NIE Shuang;BI Niannian;ZHU Meng;LI Qing;GONG Lei;WU Jiabing(Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Hefei 230601,Anhui,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽省疾病预防控制中心,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《安徽预防医学杂志》2024年第2期113-116,133,共5页Anhui Journal of Preventive Medicine

基　　金：2022年安徽省新冠病毒科研应急攻关项目(2022e07020071)。

摘　　要：新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)给世界经济和卫生保健服务带来了前所未有的挑战。基于模型的传染病预测预警研究已成为公共卫生系统关注的热点,世界各地的研究者都在利用数学、统计学、算法与算力、深度学习方法和模型对COVID-19的演变进行预测预警。本文对5种常用的COVID-19预测模型进行综述,为后续政策制定和COVID-19疫情防控提供科学依据。The coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic has brought unprecedented challenges to the world's econo-my and healthcare services.The research on infectious disease prediction and early warning based on models has become a hot topic in public health systems.Researchers around the world are using various mathematical,statistical,computational,deep learning methods and models to predict the evolution of COVID-19.This article reviews five commonly used COVID-19 prediction models,providing a scientific basis for subsequent policy-making and COVID-19 epidemic prevention and con-trol.

关 键 词：新型冠状病毒感染 预测模型 防控策略 

分 类 号：R181.8[医药卫生—流行病学]