出 处:《铁道科学与工程学报》2024年第5期2048-2058,共11页Journal of Railway Science and Engineering
基 金:国家铁路局资助项目(KF2019-005-B)。
摘 要:大型工程项目关乎国计民生、影响深远,在多种因素的作用下易引发社会稳定风险,甚至可能引发更深层次的社会危机,为识别出大型工程项目的关键利益相关者和社会稳定风险因素,大型工程项目社会稳定风险研究势在必行。首先,收集61个大型工程项目社会稳定风险事件。然后,通过共现的方法得到“利益相关者-社会稳定风险因素”2-模网络,将数据导入Netdraw软件中,形成可视化的利益相关者-社会稳定风险因素关系网络图,并利用社会网络分析软件Ucinet计算2-模网络的度数中心度。最后,将2-模网络转化为2个1-模网络(利益相关者关系网络/社会稳定风险因素关系网络),识别出大型工程项目的关键利益相关者和社会稳定风险因素。研究结果表明:“利益相关者-社会稳定风险”2-模网络整体密度较高,大型工程项目中社会稳定风险因素和利益相关者关系密切,S6政府部门-R2环境安全风险与S8当地居民-R2环境安全风险是需重点关注的关系;大型工程项目中社会稳定风险中的关键利益相关者是业主、承包商、政府部门、当地居民、网络媒体;关键社会稳定风险因素是环境安全风险、决策信息公开不充分、公众参与不足、应对行为不当、社会舆情。研究成果为大型工程项目社会稳定风险研究提供新的视角,有助于提高大型工程项目管理者的风险认知水平,为管理者决策提供理论依据。Large-scale engineering projects are closely related to the national economy and people’s livelihood and have far-reaching influence.Under the influence of multiple factors,they are easy to cause social stability risks and even cause deeper social crisis.In order to identify key stakeholders and social stability risk factors for large-scale engineering projects,it is imperative to actively carry out research on social stability risks of largescale engineering projects.Firstly,61 large-scale engineering projects were collected for social stability risk events.Then,a“stakeholder social stability risk factor”2-mode network was obtained through co-occurrence method.The data was imported into Netdraw software to form a visualized stakeholder social stability risk factor relationship network diagram.The degree centrality of the 2-mode network was calculated using social network analysis software Ucinet.Finally,the 2-mode network was transformed into two 1-mode networks(stakeholder relationship network/social stability risk factor relationship network)to identify key stakeholders and social stability risk factors for large-scale engineering projects.The findings of the study are drawn as follows.The overall density of the“stakeholder-social stability risk”2-mode network is high.The social stability risk factors and stakeholders in large-scale engineering projects are closely related.The relationship between S6 government departments-R2 environmental safety risks and S8 local residents-R2 environmental safety risks is a key concern.Key stakeholders in the social stability risk of large-scale engineering projects are owners,contractors,government departments,local residents,and online media.Key social stability risk factors are environmental safety risks,inadequate disclosure of decision-making information,inadequate public participation,inappropriate response,and public opinion.The research results can provide a new perspective for the study of social stability risk of large-scale engineering projects,help to i
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