区域一体化下自贸协定保障措施对中国农业安全的影响研究  

Impact of FTA Safeguards on China’s Agricultural Security under Regional Integration

作　　者：江涛[1] 云思宁 Jiang Tao;Yun Sining(China Jiliang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang,310018)

机构地区：[1]中国计量大学,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中国商论》2024年第10期53-56,共4页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金项目“基于区块链技术的产品标准链创新机制研究”(LY21G020005);国家社科基金重大项目“标准推动‘一带一路’沿线国家互联互通的战略与实施路径研究”(18ZDA070);国家社会科学基金一般项目“多重异质性企业视角下技术壁垒对‘优进优出’战略的影响研究”(17BGJ018)。

摘　　要：全球一体化趋势下,中国与多个国家签署了自贸协定,农产品贸易的增加在一定程度上加剧了我国农业的外部风险,探究自贸协定的保障措施条款对农业产业安全的影响有利于日后我国在拟定自贸协定时更好地考虑到对农业的保护。本文基于中国与其他20国在2005—2020年签订的协议数据,采用综合熵权法和TOPSIS法对农业产业安全进行系统测度,讨论贸易协定中保障措施的设计对中国农业产业安全的影响。研究发现:保障措施对中国农业产业安全的作用机制呈倒U型,保障措施实施程度适度对中国农业安全的保护作用最大,保障措施实施程度过高或过低对其保护都相对有限,甚至会造成不良影响。As global integration progresses,China has signed multiple FTAs,increasing external risks to its agriculture through expanded trade in agricultural products.Investigating the impact of FTA safeguard clauses on agricultural industry security aids in better protecting agriculture in future agreements.Using data from agreements between China and 20 other countries from 2005 to 2020,this paper systematically measures agricultural industry security with the entropy weight method and TOPSIS method,and discusses the impact of safeguard measures.The findings indicate that the effect of safeguard measures on China's agricultural industry security follows an inverted U-shape.Optimal protection is achieved when safeguard measures are implemented to a moderate degree,while both excessive and insufficient implementation can result in limited or adverse effects.

关 键 词：农产品贸易 农业产业安全 自贸协定 熵权TOPSIS 倒U型 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]