复杂信息环境下的情报快速反应机制研究  

Research on the Rapid Response Mechanism of Intelligence in a Complex Information Environment

作　　者：苏成[1] 赵润博 黄雁宁 赵筱媛[1] Su Cheng;Zhao Runbo;Huang Yanning;Zhao Xiaoyuan(Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China,Beijing 100038)

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术信息研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《情报学报》2024年第5期528-537,共10页Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“面向颠覆性技术早期识别的弱信号监测体系设计与应用研究”(22BTQ067)。

摘　　要：在科技飞速发展和大国博弈日益白热化的背景下,情报成为抢占国家发展先机的重要工具之一。在复杂信息环境的情报生产新环境和决策新要求下,本文以如何实现情报支撑国家战略决策为研究问题,通过文献调研与案例分析等方法,在总结梳理相关理论和实践经验的基础上,对情报快速反应机制的内涵、特征和决策支撑场景进行深入探究。本文创新性地提出一套适用于复杂信息环境下的“3+5+9情报快速反应机制”,以“早发现、早预判、早报告、早决策、早应对”为五大核心目标,以“联动协调、信息监测、信息资源、情报分析、应急处置、技术支撑、专家协作、组织保障、跟踪评估监督”为九大支撑子体系,适用于常态化监测、回应关切和突发应急三类重要决策支撑场景的情报工作机制,以期为未来相关实践提供较为扎实的理论基础。With the rapid development of science and technology and the intensification of great power games,intelli-gence has become an important tool for seizing national development opportunities.This study examines the realization of intelligence support in national strategic decision-making in this new environment of intelligence production and evolving requirements of decision-making.Through literature research,case study analysis,and other methods,this study summariz-es the relevant theories and practical experience based on the connotation,characteristics,and decision-making support sce-narios of the intelligence rapid response mechanism for in-depth investigation.This study advances an innovative“3+5+9 Rapid Response Mechanism of Intelligence”applicable to the complex information environment.The mechanism takes“early discovery,”“early prediction,”“early reporting,”“early decision-making,”and“early response”as the five core ob-jectives,and“linkage coordination,”“information monitoring,”“information resources,”“intelligence analysis,”“emer-gency response,”“technical support,”“expert collaboration,”“organizational safeguards,”and“tracking and evaluation supervision”as the nine support subsystems.This intelligence working mechanism is applicable to three important deci-sion-making support scenarios:regular monitoring,responding to concerns,and sudden emergencies,to provide solid theo-retical guidance for future practice.

关 键 词：情报快速反应机制 复杂信息环境 常态化监测 回应关切 突发应急 决策支持 

分 类 号：G350[文化科学—情报学]