基于ISM和AHP的城乡结合部公众突发公共卫生事件风险感知关键影响因素分析  

Analysis of key influencing factors of public risk perception of public health emergencies in rural-urban fringe based on ISM and AHP

作　　者：黄敏[1] 陈嘉淇 HUANG Min;CHEN Jiaqi(School of Business Administration,Liaoning Technical University,Huludao 125105,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学工商管理学院,辽宁葫芦岛125105

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2024年第3期47-53,64,共8页Safety and Environmental Engineering

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L21BSH004)。

摘　　要：深入研究城乡结合部公众突发公共卫生事件风险感知关键影响因素,对政府调节公众风险感知、提升应急管理能力具有重要意义。首先构建城乡结合部公众突发公共卫生事件风险感知影响因素指标体系,然后利用解释结构模型(ISM)方法对影响因素进行层次分析,并采用层次分析(AHP)法对各层次影响因素的影响力大小进行分析,确定城乡结合部公众突发公共卫生事件风险感知的关键影响因素。结果表明:城乡结合部公众突发公共卫生事件风险感知的影响因素分为直接因素、间接因素和根本因素三个层次;应急决策指挥和感染死亡情况是关键直接影响因素,医疗救援能力和应急物资保障是关键间接影响因素,文化水平、技能水平和公共设施完善度是关键根本影响因素。针对关键影响因素,提出建立和完善预警系统、普及宣传应急知识和加大对城乡结合部地区医疗机构的投入等措施,为政府应急管理提供决策支持。An in-depth study of the key influencing factors of public risk perception of public health emergencies in rural-urban areas is of great significance for the government to regulate public risk perception and enhance emergency management capability.Firstly, the index system of risk perception factors of public public health emergencies in rural-urban areas was constructed.Then, the influencing factors were analyzed hierarchically by using the method of Interpretative Structural Modeling(ISM),and the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method was used to analyze the impact of influencing factors in each level and determine the key influencing factors of public risk perception of public health emergencies in the rura-lurban fringe.The results are as follows: the influencing factors of public risk perception of public health emergencies in rural-urban fringe are categorized into three levels, namely direct factors, indirect factors and fundamental factors;the emergency decision-making command and infection-related deaths are the key direct influencing factors, and medical rescue capabilities and emergency material support are the key indirect influencing factors.The cultural level, skill level, and public infrastructure are the key fundamental influencing factors.In view of the key influencing factors, measures such as establishing and improving the early warning system, popularizing and publicizing knowledge of emergency response, and increasing investment in medical institutions in rural-urban areas are proposed to provide decision-making support for the government's emergency management.

关 键 词：城乡结合部 突发公共卫生事件 风险感知 关键影响因素 解释结构模型(ISM) 层次分析法(AHP) 

分 类 号：X915.2[环境科学与工程—安全科学] R19[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]