省直管县改革能够促进共同富裕吗?——基于双重差分模型的实证分析  

Can Provincial-Directly Managed County Reforms Promote Common Prosperity?——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Difference-in-Differences Model

作　　者：周功满[1] Zhou Gongman

机构地区：[1]浙江师范大学法学院

出　　处：《治理研究》2024年第3期95-110,159,共17页Governance Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“推进以县城为重要载体的城镇化建设研究”(编号:21ZDA071)。

摘　　要：省直管县改革被视为发展县域经济、缩小城乡差距的重要举措,但已有研究对其能否实现缩小“三大”差距和推进公共服务均等化等共同富裕的主要政策目标仍存在争议。对此,以浙江省“省直管县”改革1997-2017年的面板数据为样本,运用双重差分法重新审视省直管县改革对实现共同富裕主要政策目标的整体效果。研究发现:省直管县试点和全面实施两个阶段对共同富裕均具有正向效应,且随着时间的推进呈现出逐年上升趋势。进一步分析发现,试点和全面实施阶段对共同富裕的正向效应存在区域差异,“省直管县试点”对共同富裕的影响具有“弱者变强、强者愈强”特征,而“省直管县全面实施”对共同富裕的影响则呈现出“抑强扶弱、协同发展”的特性。这些研究发现对优化省管县制度、探讨实现共同富裕的政策创新路径具有重要意义。The reform of provincial-managed counties is regarded as a crucial measure for economic development that narrows the urban-rural divide.However,the existing research has not conclusively shown whether it reduces the“three major”disparities and advances the equalization of public services,two key policy goals for achieving common prosperity.This paper uses panel data from the reform of Zhejiang province's provincial-managed counties from 1997 to 2017.By applying the difference-in-differences method,the paper examines the overall impact of these reforms on achieving the primary policy objectives of common prosperity.The findings suggest that both the pilot and full implementation phases of the reforms had a positive effect on common prosperity,showing an increasing trend over time.Further analysis reveals regional differences in these positive effects.The“three major”provincial-managed county pilot programs displayed characteristics of“the weak becoming stronger,the strong getting stronger.”The“full implementation”phase demonstrated features of“suppressing the strong to support the weak,and promoting collaborative development.”These findings have significant implications for optimizing the provincial county management system and exploring innovative policy paths to achieving common prosperity.

关 键 词：省直管县 共同富裕 经济发展 城乡差距 资源再分配 

分 类 号：D630[政治法律—政治学]