粤港澳大湾区服务业发展对出口的影响研究  

Study on the Impact of Service Industry Development on Exports in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

作　　者：陈晓佳[1] 罗涛[1] CHEN Xiaojia;LUO Tao(Guangdong Construction Polytechnic,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510440)

机构地区：[1]广东建设职业技术学院,广东广州510440

出　　处：《中国商论》2024年第11期52-55,共4页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：广东建设职业技术学院校级项目“粤港澳大湾区生产性服务业与制造业价值链攀升研究”(KY2021-34)。

摘　　要：本文利用粤港澳大湾区11个城市2005—2021年的面板数据,采用实证研究的方法,验证了粤港澳大湾区服务业与出口之间的影响,探讨了数字经济发展对服务业与出口之间的调节效应。研究发现:粤港澳大湾区服务业对出口存在显著的积极影响;数字经济对服务业与出口之间的影响关系存在正向调节效应。未来,可以采取差异性政策提升粤港澳大湾区服务业发展水平,尤其是缩小不同城市之间服务业发展水平的差距;在此基础上,进一步推进数字经济发展,实现企业数字化转型,并进一步提高粤港澳大湾区的国际竞争力。Using panel data from 11 cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2005 to 2021,this paper adopts the methodology of empirical research to validate the impact of the relationship between the service industry and exports in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and explore the moderating eff ect of the development of the digital economy on the relationship between the service industry and exports.It is found that there is a signifi cant positive impact of the service industry on exports in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and that there is a positive moderating eff ect of the digital economy on the relationship between the service industry and exports.In the future,diff erentiated policies can be adopted to improve the development level of the service industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,especially to narrow the gap in the development level of the service industry between diff erent cities.On this basis,the development of the digital economy can be further promoted to achieve digital transformation of enterprises and further enhance the international competitiveness of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.

关 键 词：服务业 出口 数字经济 固定效应模型 粤港澳大弯区 现代服务业 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]