中国市域新型工业化高质量发展:水平测度、组群分析与推进策略  

High-quality Development of New Industrialization in China:Quantitative Measurement,Group Analysis and Promotion Strategy

作　　者：傅联英[1] 黄博林 古洋洋 蔡煜 Fu Lianying;Huang Bolin;Gu Yangyang;Cai Yu(School of Economics and Finance,Huaqiao University,Quanzhou 362021)

机构地区：[1]华侨大学经济与金融学院,泉州362021

出　　处：《上海经济》2024年第2期1-21,共21页Shanghai Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目(项目号:22AJY016)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：深刻把握新时代新型工业化的特征事实,需将高质量发展的要求与标准贯穿新型工业化全过程。本文基于新发展理念构建市域新型工业化高质量发展水平的测度体系,利用熵值法测算2012-2021年各地级市新型工业化高质量发展水平指数,运用Dagum基尼系数分解代表性城市群的空间差异及主要来源,借助Moran’sⅠ指数检验市域新型工业化高质量发展的空间相关性,采用障碍因素诊断模型剖析市域新型工业化高质量发展进程中的阻力因素。研究发现:(1)市域新型工业化高质量发展指数总体呈现上升态势,但水平有待提高;在层级分布上呈现高水平与低水平相当、中高水平和中低水平集簇的“纺锤型”形态。(2)在时序上,新型工业化高质量水平的差距随时间演进呈现下降→上升→下跌→上浮的“W”形演变特征,总体差距主要来源于城市群间差异;在空间上,新型工业化高质量发展表现出正向空间集聚特征。(3)公共研发强度、信息基础设施、科技人才根基是制约城市新型工业化高质量发展的主要障碍因素。基于以上事实,本文从培育工业新质生产力、推动区域协调化发展和紧抓关键破局着力点三方面,提出加快推进新型工业化高质量发展的策略与建议。To deeply grasp the fact of the characteristics of new industrialization in the new era,the requirements and standards of high-quality development should be carried through the whole process of new industrialization.Based on the new development concept,this paper constructs a measurement system for the level of high-quality development of new industrialization in municipalities,measures the index of high-quality development of new industrialization in each prefecture-level city from 2012 to 2021 using the entropy method,decomposes the spatial differences of the representative urban agglomerations and their main sources using the Dagum Gini coefficient,and examines the spatial correlation of the high-quality development of new industrialization in municipalities with the help of the Moran’s Ⅰ index.With the help of Moran’s I Index,the study examines the spatial correlation of the development of new industrialization of high quality in the city area,and adopts the diagnostic model of obstacles to analyze the resistance factors in the process of high-quality development of new industrialization of city area.The study found that:(1)The index of high-quality development of new industrialization in the city area shows a general upward trend but the level needs to be improved,and the distribution of the tiers shows a"spindle-shaped"pattern in which the high level is comparable to the low level,and the medium-high level and the medium-low level are clustered.(2)In terms of time sequence,the gap between the high-quality level of new industrialization and the time evolution shows a"W"evolution characteristic of decline→rise→decline→upward fluctuation,and the overall gap mainly originates from the difference between city clusters;spatially,the high-quality development of new industrialization shows positive spatial clustering characteristics.(3)Public R&D intensity,information infrastructure,and scientific and technological talents are the main obstacles to the highquality development of new industrialization in

关 键 词：新型工业化 高质量发展 熵值法 城际差距 障碍因素 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]