电子商务发展与经济增长互动创新发展研究  

Research on the Interactive Innovation and Development of the E-commerce Development and Economic Growth

作　　者：周健 刘慧 ZHOU Jian;LIU Hui(School of Economics and Management,Qilu Normal University,Jinan 250202,China)

机构地区：[1]齐鲁师范学院经济与管理学院,山东济南250202

出　　处：《经济问题》2024年第6期83-90,共8页On Economic Problems

基　　金：山东省社会科学规划重点项目“基于数字贸易壁垒的山东省跨境电商交易风险控制研究”(17BJJJ07)。

摘　　要：利用2014-2021年山东省16地市电子商务发展和经济增长的面板时间序列数据,采用PVAR模型和SWOT-AHP模型,从推动力和拉动力两个维度分析了电子商务发展与经济增长的互动关系及影响因素。研究发现,电子商务发展与经济增长之间存在长期依存关系并具有单向因果关系;“紧缩规避(WT)”的战略方案是影响电子商务发展的制约性因素。政府应从政策争取与落实、人才培养与流动、企业联合与交融、氛围建设与维护四个方面促进电子商务发展与经济增长良性互动。This paper uses the panel time series data of e-commerce development and economic growth in 16 cities of Shandong Province from 2014 to 2021,and employs PVAR model and SWOT-AHP model to analyze the interactive relationship and influencing factors between e-commerce development and economic growth from the perspectives of driving force and pulling force.The study finds that there is a long-term dependence and a one-way causal relationship between the e-commerce development and economic growth.The strategic solution of“avoiding contraction(WT)”is a restrictive factor affecting e-commerce development.The government should promote the mutually beneficial interaction between e-commerce and economic growth from four aspects:policy advocacy and implementation,talent training and mobility,enterprise cooperation and integration,and atmosphere building and maintenance.

关 键 词：电子商务发展 经济增长 PVAR模型 SWOT-AHP模型 

分 类 号：F222[经济管理—国民经济] F724