我国生猪饲料产业链韧性状况及影响因素分析  

Analysis on resilience and influencing factors of Chinese pig feed industry chain

作　　者：马振红[1] MA Zhen-hong

机构地区：[1]郑州理工职业学院,河南郑州450000

出　　处：《饲料研究》2024年第9期189-194,共6页Feed Research

基　　金：2022年河南省哲学社会科学规划项目“数字经济与实体经济融合发展释放河南经济增长新动能研究(项目编号:2022BJJ084)”。

摘　　要：文章基于2011—2021年30个省份面板数据,采用熵值法对我国生猪饲料产业链韧性进行测算,分析生猪饲料产业链韧性发展现状及区域特征,运用双向固定效应模型细致探究我国生猪饲料产业链韧性的影响因素。结果发现:研究期内我国生猪饲料产业链韧性整体呈缓慢波动上升态势,且随着猪周期呈现出周期性波动上升趋势;立足维度视角,我国生猪饲料产业链韧性的提高主要得益于基础力和抵抗力的有效提升;立足区域视角,我国生猪饲料产业链韧性最高的是可持续生产区,其次是制约生产区,再次是核心生产区,最后是适宜生产区;立足影响因素视角,经济发展水平、技术创新水平、金融发展程度和交通便利度均对我国生猪饲料产业链韧性具有显著提升作用。研究表明,探讨增强我国生猪饲料产业链韧性的现实路径可为加快构建我国生猪饲料产业链新格局提供有益借鉴。Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2011—2021,the tenacity of Chinese pig feed industry chain was measured by the entropy method,and the current development situation and regional characteristics of the tenacity of pig feed industry chain were analyzed.A bidirectional fixed effect model was used to explore the influencing factors of the resilience of Chinese pig feed industry chain.The restults showed that during the research period,the toughness of Chinese pig feed industry chain rose slowly,and showed a cyclical rising trend with the appearance of pig cycle.Based on a dimensional perspective,the improvement of the resilience of Chinese pig feed industry chain mainly benefits from the effective improvement of basic strength and resistance.From a regional perspective,the most resilient pig feed industry chain in China is in sustainable production areas,followed by restricted production areas,core production areas,and finally suitable production areas.From the perspective of influencing factors,the economic development level,technological innovation level,financial development level,and transportation convenience all had a significant role in improving the toughness of Chinese pig feed industry chain.The study indicates that exploring the practical path to enhance the resilience of Chinese pig feed industry chain can provide useful reference for accelerating the construction of a new pattern of Chinese pig feed industry chain.

关 键 词：生猪饲料 产业链韧性 影响因素 指标体系 

分 类 号：S8-9[农业科学—畜牧兽医]