中国省域旅游经济韧性与效率适配发展及其影响因素  

Research on adaptability between tourism economy resilience and efficiency and its influencing factors in China

作　　者：王新越[1] 季冉冉 Wang Xinyue;Ji Ranran(Management College,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,青岛266100

出　　处：《中国生态旅游》2024年第1期79-92,共14页Journal of Chinese Ecotourism

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21BJY202)。

摘　　要：韧性与效率的适配发展是旅游经济提质增效、高质量发展的必然要求。本文在评价2001—2020年中国旅游经济韧性与效率发展水平的基础上,分析二者发展适配机理,利用适配性综合评价模型和地理探测器探究二者适配发展水平及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)2001—2020年,中国旅游经济韧性与效率发展水平总体呈上升态势,由旅游经济韧性滞后转向二者同步发展趋势明显,且二者差距不断缩小。(2)适配发展水平在研究期内显著提升,其发展演变与旅游经济韧性子系统相似,具有以韧性为主导的适配发展特点,空间上呈现“东-中-东北-西”阶梯式递减的分布格局。(3)根据组群演变分析结果,可将中国31个省(区、市)划分为持续型、发展型、调整型、提升型4个类型,适配发展水平呈现出高、低两极稳定,居中省(区、市)变动较大的状态,苏、浙、鲁、粤4个持续型省(区、市)的旅游经济韧性与效率适配发展水平稳居前列,而青、宁、藏、新等提升型省(区、市)排名居于后部。(4)区域经济发展水平、旅游创新水平、旅游资源禀赋、旅游产业专业化水平、旅游产业多样化水平是省(区、市)旅游经济韧性与效率适配发展水平的主要影响因素,同时旅游产业专业化和多样化是影响二者适配发展的主导交互因子。The adaptive development of resilience and efficiency is an inevitable requirement for the quality and efficiency improvement and high-quality development of the tourism economy.Based on the evaluation of the resilience and efficiency development level of tourism economy in China from 2001 to 2020,this paper analyzes the adaptation mechanism,and uses the adaptability comprehensive evaluation model and geographic detector to explore the adaptation degree and influencing factors.The results show that:(1)From 2001 to 2020,the development level of tourism economic resilience and efficiency showed an overall upward trend,and the lag of tourism economic resilience turned to the synchronous development trend of the two,and the gap between the two was narrowing.(2)The adaptation degree was significantly improved during the study period and was similar to those of the tourism economic resilience subsystem,which had the characteristics of resilience-dominated adaptive development,and spatially presented a stepwise decreasing distribution pattern of"east-centralnortheast-west".(3)Group evolution analysis showed that provincial-level regions can be divided into four types:sustainable,developmental,adjusted and promoted,and the adaptation degree was stable at the high and low poles,and the provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities in the middle were in a state of great change,and the four sustainable provinces of Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Shandong and Guangdong were in the forefront,while the upgrading provincial-level regions,such as Qinghai,Ningxia,Xizang and Xinjiang,were ranked in the rear.(4)Regional economic development level,tourism innovation level,tourism resources endowment,tourism industry specialization level,and tourism industry diversification level were the main influencing factors,while the specialization and diversification of the tourism industry were dominant interacting factors affecting the development of the two.

关 键 词：旅游经济韧性 旅游经济效率 适配发展 影响因素 省域尺度 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]