城市规模、家庭迁移及收入增长基于农村外出劳动力的证据  

City Size,Family Migration and Income Growth——Evidences from Rural Outbound Labor Force

作　　者：袁晓燕 石磊[2] YUAN Xiao-yan;SHI Lei(School of Economics,Shanghai University, 200444;School of Economics,Fudan University,200433)

机构地区：[1]上海大学经济学院,200444 [2]复旦大学经济学院,200433

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2024年第5期53-68,共16页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目“包容性城市发展:城市规模、劳动力流动对就业和婚姻的影响”(项目批准号:71403157)的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：越来越多的流动人口开始采取家庭化方式迁移。运用2005年1%中国人口普查和《中国城市统计年鉴2001-2005》,本文研究了迁入地城市规模对举家迁移已婚流动女性的收入效应。结果显示:城市规模每增大1%,她们的收入增加0.36%。其原因在于,城市规模每增大1%,已婚女性的就业机会比单身女性多增加0.102%,和大城市中服务业的更好匹配是其就业和收入增加的源泉。修正了样本选择偏误和内生性后的结果也是显著稳健的。政策制定者对于流动人口家庭迁移的科学判断,不仅可以有效增加服务业的供给,还能促进流动人口的男女平等,实现包容性增长。More and more floating people are beginning to migrate in a family-based way.Using the 1%Chinese census in 2005 and the Statistical Yearbook of Chinese Cities 2001-2005,this paper studies the income effect of the scale of the city in the place of relocation on the income of married migrant women.The results show that for every 1%increase in the size of the city,their income will increase by 0.36%.The reason is that for every 1%increase in the size of the city,the employment opportunities for married women increase by 0.102%more than that of single women,and the better match with the service industry in big cities is the source of employment and income increase.After correcting the sample selection bias and endosity,the results are also significantly stable.The scientific judgment of policymakers on the migration of households in the floating population can not only effectively increase the supply of the service industry,but also promote gender equality and achieve inclusive growth in the floating population.

关 键 词：城市规模 家庭迁移 收入增长 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]