基于模糊Petri网的引航员作业舒适度评价  

Evaluation of pilot comfort performance based on FPN method

作　　者：胡甚平[1] 刘玲玲 席永涛[1] 张欣欣[1] HU Shenping;LIU Lingling;XI Yongtao;ZHANG Xinxin(Merchant Marine College,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学商船学院,上海201306

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2024年第4期67-76,共10页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(52272353);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助(23YJAZH157)。

摘　　要：为提高引航员的作业舒适度,提出一种基于模糊Petri网(FPN)的模糊推理算法(FRA)下的组合评价方法。首先,针对作业舒适度影响因子的不确定性信息,建立多因素耦合的FPN拓扑结构;然后,采用博弈论组合赋权法确定最优组合权重,提出融合层间相关性判断临界重要性、层次分析法和FRA,建立基于主客观权重的FRA,通过迭代求解库所可信度和状态矩阵;最后,结合上海港船舶引航的场景数据,基于FPN的FRA应用,评价引航员作业舒适度。结果表明:环境与引航设备是影响其作业舒适度的关键因素,冬季和夏季的引航作业舒适度评价等级对应“较不舒适”,其中,5月份为“较舒适”。所提方法充分体现系统舒适度影响因素的耦合特性。In order to improve the pilot's operational comfort,a combined evaluation method based on FPN and FRA was proposed.First,a multi-factor coupled FPN network topology was established for the uncertainty information of the influencing factors of operational comfort.Then,the optimal combination weights were determined by the game theoretic assignment method.An algorithm combining the inter-layer correlation to determine the critical importance,analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy reasoning was proposed to establish a FRA based on subjective and objective weights.The confidence and state matrices were solved by iterative solution of the library.Finally,combined with the scenario data of ship pilotage in Shanghai harbor,the operational comfort of pilots was evaluated through the application of FRA based on FPN.The results show that the environment and pilotage equipment are the key factors affecting the comfort of their operation.The comfort level of pilotage operation in winter and summer corresponds to"less comfortable",and"more comfortable"in May.The proposed method fully reflects the coupled nature of the factors influencing the comfort of the system.

关 键 词：模糊Petri网(FPN) 引航员作业 舒适度评价 模糊推理算法(FRA) 博弈论组合赋权 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]