小马科斯执政以来菲澳关系的提升及走势  

The Promotion of Philippines-Australia Relations since Marcos Jr.Took Office and Its Implications

作　　者：唐小松 张豪杰 Tang Xiaosong;Zhang Haojie

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学国际关系学院 [2]广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院

出　　处：《现代国际关系》2024年第5期79-99,141,共22页

基　　金：2020年国家社会科学基金重点项目“美国对华战略调整下的‘五眼联盟’转型与我国对策研究”(20AGJ005)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：菲律宾与澳大利亚的关系长期以来不温不火,但在小马科斯当选总统后却迅速升温。两国关系提升以建立“战略伙伴关系”为主要标志,具体表现为两国地缘战略关系凸显,经贸联系增强,澳对菲援助加码,两国人文交流更趋密切。其原因主要有美国的推动、两国对挑战与威胁的认知、经济和地缘战略互需等三个方面。未来两国关系或稳中有升,并在中美竞争中保持向美方略微倾斜态势。两国关系提升必然给中国安全防卫带来挑战,并威胁东盟及南海稳定。Relations between the Philippines and Australia have long been plain,but have warmed rapidly since Marcos Jr.became the president of the Philippines.The promotion of relations between the two countries is mainly marked by the establishment of a strategic partnership.At present,relations between the two countires have become more geo-strategic,their economic and trade ties have been significantly enhanced,Australia's development assistance to the Philippines has increased,and their people-to-people exchanges have become stronger.The Us'propelling,the two countries'shared perception of challenges and threats,and their mutual economic and geostrategic needs have contributed to the significant promotion in their relations.In the future,the relations between the two countries may improve steadily and maintain a balance tilted slightly toward the US in the context of Sino-US rivalry.The promotion of relations between the two countries will inevitably bring challenges to China's security,and threaten the stability of ASEAN and the South China Sea.China should make corresponding responses.

关 键 词：小马科斯 菲澳关系 中美关系 中菲关系 亚太安全 

分 类 号：D834.1[政治法律—政治学] D861.1[政治法律—外交学] D822.371.2