基于温室气体清单的市级国土空间规划碳定量研究:分析框架、核算方法与规划模拟  

Study on Carbon Quantitative Analysis of Spatial Planning:Framework,Calculation Methods and Simulation

作　　者：熊健 张翀 谢湘雅 卢柯 张天然 金昱 王波 时寅 XIONG Jian;ZHANG Chong;XIE Xiangya;LU Ke;ZHANG Tianran;JIN Yu;WANG Bo;SHI Yin

机构地区：[1]上海市城市规划设计研究院党委 [2]上海市城市规划设计研究院 [3]上海市城市规划设计研究院发展研究中心 [4]上海市城市规划设计研究院交通分院

出　　处：《上海城市规划》2024年第2期73-81,共9页Shanghai Urban Planning Review

摘　　要：碳排放数据的统计和分析对于实现“碳达峰、碳中和”目标的相关政策制定和行动选择至关重要。国土空间规划作为聚焦“空间”的综合治理平台,需加强“双碳”战略下的专题性定量分析。首先,在梳理温室气体清单应用延伸的国际经验和国内研究基础上,明确国土空间规划碳定量分析的任务和要点,提出研究以国土空间碳核算为核心、以国土空间规划碳排放多情景模拟为延展的关键方法;其次,从温室气体清单着手,构建碳定量分析体系,制定核算公式,并以上海为例说明体系细化、因子标定等本地化路径和应用情况;最后,提出减碳目标约束下开展规划碳排放模拟的技术思路,并对上海市规划交通碳排进行评估。The statistics and analysis of carbon emission data are crucial to policy formulation.It's important to strengthen thematic carbon quantitative analysis of spatial planning.On the basis of summarizing the international practical experience and domestic research of the application of greenhouse gas inventories,the specific goals and main points of carbon quantitative analysis of spatial planning are clarified,and the key methods are proposed.An analysis structure is constructed,and calculation formulas are formulated.Based on Shanghai's empirical analysis,the localized application path is introduced.Further,the technical approach for conducting multi scenario simulation is proposed.

关 键 词：国土空间规划 温室气体清单 碳排放 定量分析 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]