中国民航业的数字化减碳实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Digital Carbon Reduction of China's Civil Aviation Industry

作　　者：田利军 徐馨喆 姜晓涵 TIAN Lijun;XU Xinzhe;JIANG Xiaohan(China Civil Aviation Environment and Sustainable Development Research Center,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学中国民航环境与可持续发展研究中心,天津300300

出　　处：《综合运输》2024年第5期3-8,共6页China Transportation Review

基　　金：民航安全基金项目(146);中国民用航空局安全能力建设项目(14002500000020J074);教育部新文科研究与改革实践项目(2021140031)。

摘　　要：数字化作为实现碳中和的技术路径,在助力全球应对气候变化中扮演重要角色。以国内注册的商业航空公司为研究对象,以2014-2021年为时间窗口,构建了航空公司数字化碳减排理论分析框架和数学关系模型,检验了数字化减碳的作用机理与路径。研究发现:数字化可以显著抑制碳排放,数字化水平每提升1%,碳排放强度将降低0.103%。数字化减碳存在明显的滞后效应,长周期应用才能体现更好的减碳效果。数字化主要通过提高资源配置效率和旅客服务满意度实现节能降碳。由于行业的特殊性,绿色技术创新在数字化减碳中没有呈现出统计意义上的显著性。研究结论打开了数字化减碳的“黑箱”,为数字技术推进民航碳达峰、碳中和提供了理论支撑和经验证据。As a technological path to achieve carbon neutrality, digitalization plays an important role in helping the global response to climate change. Taking domestic registered commercial airlines as the research object, and taking 2014-2021 as the time window, the theoretical analysis framework and mathematical relationship model of digital carbon reduction of airlines are constructed, and the mechanism and path of digital carbon reduction are tested. The study found that digitalization can significantly reduce carbon emissions. For every 1% increase in digitalization level, the carbon emission intensity of airlines will be reduced by 0.103%. Digitalization can achieve energy conservation and carbon reduction mainly by improving the efficiency of resource allocation and passenger service satisfaction. Due to the particularity of the industry, green technology innovation does not show statistical significance in digital carbon reduction. The research conclusion opens the "black box" of digital carbon reduction and provides theoretical support and empirical evidence for digital technology to promote the carbon peak and carbon neutralization of civil aviation.

关 键 词：数字化 碳减排 中国民航 资源配置 

分 类 号：F235.99[经济管理—会计学]