基于DPSIR模型的城市旅游经济韧性评价与影响因素——以长三角城市群为例  

Evaluation and Influencing Factors of Tourism Economic Resilience Based on DPSIR Model:a Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration

作　　者：方叶林[1] 吴燕妮 王秋月 王芳 Fang Yelin;Wu Yanni;Wang Qiuyue;Wang Fang(School of Business,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China;School of Business Management,Anhui Vocational College of City Management,Hefei 230011,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学商学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]安徽城市管理职业学院商贸管理学院,安徽合肥230011

出　　处：《南京师大学报（自然科学版）》2024年第2期26-34,共9页Journal of Nanjing Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(42171238、42271272);安徽省自然科学基金面上项目(2108085MD125).

摘　　要：基于DPSIR模型构建旅游经济韧性指标体系,对2009—2021年长三角城市群旅游经济韧性水平进行测度,并分析其演化特征与影响因素,以期为旅游经济韧性提升提供一定决策依据.结果表明:长三角城市群旅游经济韧性呈现“先升后降”的变化趋势,各城市韧性水平整体上呈上升趋势.韧性较高城市主要分布在中东部地区,各城市旅游经济韧性水平间具有一定空间集聚特征.旅游经济韧性受经济发展水平、经济发展结构、旅游发展速度、游客承载量、教育水平、基础设施和政府干预等因素的综合影响,其中旅游发展速度对旅游经济韧性具有明显负面影响,其他因素均具有显著促进作用.Based on DPSIR model,the index system of tourism economic resilience is constructed to measure the level of tourism economic resilience in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2009 to 2021,and its evolutionary characteristics and influencing factors are analyzed in order to provide certain decision-making basis for improving the tourism economic resilience.The results show that the tourism economic resilience in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration presents a changing trend of first rising and then decreasing,and the resilience level of all cities is on the rise as a whole.The cities with high resilience are mainly distributed in the middle east region,and the tourism economic resilience of each city has a certain spatial agglomeration characteristic.Tourism economic resilience is comprehensively affected by factors such as economic development level,economic development structure,tourism development speed,tourist carrying capacity,education level,infrastructure and government intervention.Among them,tourism development speed has a significant negative impact on tourism economic resilience,while other factors have significant promoting effects.

关 键 词：旅游经济系统 韧性 DPSIR模型 长三角城市群 面板分位数回归 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]