区域科技创新驱动经济高质量增长的时空效应研究  

Spatio-temporal Effect of Regional Scientific and Technological Innovation-driven High-quality Economic Growth

作　　者：许红丹 刘云 杨武[2,3] XU Hongdan;LIU Yun;YANG Wu

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京100190 [2]北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京100083 [3]清华大学中国企业成长与经济安全研究中心,北京100084

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2024年第6期1-18,共18页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重大项目“新兴产业全球创新网络形成机制、演进特征及对创新绩效的影响研究”(71810107004),项目负责人:刘云;国家自然科学基金面上项目“我国专利密集型产业破解国外技术锁定的机理、路径与对策研究”(72074019),项目负责人:杨武;国家自然基金专项项目“科学基金推动粤港澳大湾区国际科技创新中心基础研究发展的战略研究”(L2224008),项目负责人:周文能。

摘　　要：本文以合成指数法计算得到八大综合经济区科技创新指数与经济高质量增长指数,并以此为基础,通过构建驱动作用动态面板模型和半参数空间动态模型,分析各经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长驱动作用演化过程在时间和空间上的异质性与溢出效应。研究发现:八大综合经济区科技创新驱动经济高质量增长存在不同的滞后期,且具有差异化的时序效应与经济高质量增长的惯性作用;八大综合经济区科技创新驱动经济高质量增长的空间效应表现出不同形状的波动变化态势,经济高质量增长自身惯性的空间驱动效应显著;经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长的偏导数曲线形态不尽相同,但科技创新的空间驱动效应主要为由初始协同阶段向嵌入期迈进和嵌入融合期两种类型。研究价值:不同经济区科技创新对经济高质量增长的驱动作用展现出不同的演化形态,在提升区域科技创新驱动作用时应因地制宜,精准施策,为有效促进经济区内经济增长质量的提升与经济区间经济高质量增长的协同发展提供政策依据。This research utilizes the synthetic index method to calculate the economic development status of S&T innovation and high-quality economic growth in the eight comprehensive economic zones.Based on this,the research constructs the dynamic panel data model and the semi-parametric dynamic spatial model,analyzes the heterogeneity and spillover effects of the evolution of the role of S&T innovation in driving high-quality economic growth in time and space in each economic zone.The results show that:There are different lag periods of S&T innovation-driven high-quality economic growth in the eight comprehensive economic zones,and there are differentiated time series effects and inertial effects of high-quality economic growth.The spatial effect of S&T innovation driving high-quality economic growth in the eight comprehensive economic zones shows different shapes of fluctuations,and the spatial driving effect of its own inertia of high-quality economic growth is significant.The partial derivative curve of technological innovation in economic zones on high-quality economic growth is not the same,but the spatial driving effect of technological innovation in the eight comprehensive economic zones is mainly in two types:From the initial coordination stage to the embedding stage,and the embedding and integration stage.Research value:The driving effect of S&T innovation on high-quality economic growth in different economic zones shows different evolution patterns,and the driving role of regional science and technology innovation should be customized and precisely applied in order to provide a policy basis for the effective promotion of the improvement of the quality of economic growth within economic zones and the synergistic development of high-quality economic growth among economic zones.

关 键 词：八大综合经济区 科技创新驱动 经济高质量增长 时空效应 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]