淮安市2011—2020年新报告HIV/AIDS病例流行病学特征及趋势分析  

Epidemiological characteristics and trends in incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS cases in Huai′an City from 2011 to 2020

作　　者：姜海洋 孙修福[1] 吴丽萍[1] 时玉军 吕沅静 JIANG Hai-yang;SUN Xiu-fu;WU Li-ping;SHI Yu-jun;LüYuan-jing(Huai′an Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Huai′an Jiangsu 223001,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]淮安市疾病预防控制中心,江苏淮安223001 [2]江苏省现场流行病学培训项目 [3]江苏省疾病预防控制中心

出　　处：《江苏预防医学》2024年第2期185-187,共3页Jiangsu Journal of Preventive Medicine

摘　　要：目的分析淮安市艾滋病流行病学特征及变化趋势,为制定艾滋病防控措施提供依据。方法下载艾滋病防治信息系统中淮安市2011—2020年新报告HIV/AIDS病例,运用Joinpoint回归模型分析变化趋势。结果淮安市2011—2020年新报告HIV/AIDS病例1202例,男性占87.19%,男性和女性新报告HIV/AIDS病例在年龄、婚姻状况、民族、文化程度、人群类别、感染途径、样本来源方面差异均有统计学意义(P值均<0.05)。2011—2020年总人群新报告HIV/AIDS病例发病率以年均11.13%速率上升(Z=2.89,P<0.05),由1.15/10万增至2.81/10万,发病率趋势变化折点在2015年,2011—2015年年均上升23.86%(Z=3.12,P<0.05);2015—2020年变化趋势无统计学意义(Z=0.52,P=0.63)。男性发病率趋势变化折点在2015年,2011—2015年年均上升25.46%(Z=3.05,P<0.05);2015—2020年年均上升1.53%,但变化趋势无统计学意义(Z=0.39,P=0.71);女性发病率趋势无统计学意义(Z=0.96,P=0.34)。结论淮安市新报告HIV/AIDS发病率呈上升趋势,需重点关注男性人群的艾滋病防治工作,尤其是男性同性恋人群,有针对性的开展艾滋病宣传教育和行为干预工作。Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and trends in incidence of AIDS in Huai′an City,so as to provide insights into the formulation of the AIDS control strategy.Methods The epidemiological data of newly reported HIV/AIDS pa-tients in Huai′an City from 2011 to 2020 were downloaded from the National AIDS Prevention and Control Information System of China,and the trends in incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS were analyzed using a Joinpoint regression model.Results A total of 1202 newly reported HIV/AIDS cases were identified in Huai′an City from 2011 to 2020,and 87.19%were male.There were significant differences between male and female newly reported HIV/AIDS cases in terms of age,marital status,ethnicity,educational level,popu-lation classification,route of infection and source of samples(all P values<0.05).The annual mean rise of the incidence of annual re-ported HIV/AIDS cases was 11.13%among all subjects from 2011 to 2020(Z=2.89,P<0.05),and the incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS cases increased from 1.15/105 in 2011 to 2.81/105 in 2020.The change point of the incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS was found in 2015,with an annual mean rise of 23.86%from 2011 to 2015(Z=3.12,P<0.05);however,there was no significant difference in the trends in the incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS(Z=0.52,P=0.63).The change point of the incidence of male newly reported HIV/AIDS was found in 2015,with an annual mean rise of 25.46%from 2011 to 2015(Z=3.05,P<0.05),and the annual mean rise in the incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS was 1.53%from 2015 to 2020,with no significant difference in the trends in the incidence(Z=0.39,P=0.71).In addition,there was no significant difference in the trends in the incidence of female newly reported HIV/AIDS(Z=0.96,P=0.34).Conclusions The incidence of newly reported HIV/AIDS appeared a tendency to-wards a rise in Huai′an City.Much attention requires to be paid to AIDS control among men,notably men who have sex with men,and targeted AIDS health education and behavi

关 键 词：艾滋病 流行病学特征 Joinpoint趋势分析 

分 类 号：R512.91[医药卫生—内科学]