自然风险对农地资源配置效率的影响——基于风险应对能力差异视角  

The impact of natural risks on the allocation efficiency of farmland resources:From the perspective of risk coping capability differences

作　　者：郑姗 刘家成 安宁 ZHENG Shan;LIU Jiacheng;AN Ning(College of Economics and Management,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;School of Public Finance and Taxation,Nanjing University of Finance&Economics,Nanjing 210023,China)

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院,南京210095 [2]南京财经大学财政与税务学院,南京210023

出　　处：《资源科学》2024年第4期829-840,共12页Resources Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD094)。

摘　　要：【目的】基于风险应对能力差异视角剖析自然风险对农地资源配置效率的影响及其机制,为改善农地资源配置效率提供理论依据与参考。【方法】基于2019年江苏、吉林和四川3省调查数据,利用多元回归模型分析自然风险对农地资源配置效率的影响,并在不同农户风险应对能力差异的视角下揭示自然风险对农地资源配置效率的影响机制。【结果】①现阶段中国仍存在农地资源配置效率低下的情况,自然风险可能降低农地资源配置效率,但存在一定的风险水平门槛,只有在自然风险上升到一定水平的情况下,自然风险才会降低农地资源配置效率。②高自然风险将抑制农地向经营效率较高的规模户流动,从而不利于农地资源配置效率的提升。规模户的风险应对能力在自然风险影响农地资源配置效率中发挥正向调节作用,即规模户的风险应对能力会弱化自然风险对农地资源配置效率的负向影响。【结论】提升农业经营主体的风险应对能力是提高农地资源配置效率的重要途径。政府应注重完善自然风险管理体系、解决禀赋约束问题以及规范农地流转市场,提高农业经营主体的自然风险应对能力,以有效提升农地资源配置效率。[Objective]The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of natural risks on the allocation efficiency of agricultural land resources and mechanism based on the difference of risk coping capability,and provide a theoretical basis and reference for improving the allocation efficiency of agricultural land resources.[Methods]Based on the survey data from Jiangsu,Jilin,and Sichuan Provinces,a multiple regression model was used to analyze the impact of natural risks on the efficiency of agricultural land resource allocation.The study also revealed the mechanism of impact of natural risks on the efficiency of agricultural land resource allocation from the perspective of different farmers’risk coping capabilities.[Results]The findings show that:(1)There is a low allocation efficiency of farmland resources in China at this stage.Natural risks aggravate the mismatch of farmland resources,but there is a certain threshold of risk level.Only when the natural risk rises to a certain level,will it reduce the allocation efficiency of farmland resources.(2)High natural risks will inhibit the transfer of farmland to more efficient large-scale households,thereby hindering the improvement of farmland resource.The risk coping capability of large-scale farming households plays a positive moderating role in the effect of natural risks on the allocation efficiency of agricultural land resources,that is,higher risk coping capability of large-scale farming households will weaken the negative impact of natural risks on the allocation efficiency of agricultural land resources.[Conclusion]Enhancing the risk coping capability of agricultural operators is an important approach for improving the allocation efficiency of farmland resources.The government should focus on improving the natural risk management system,addressing endowment constraints and regulating the farmland transfer market to enhance the natural risk coping capability of agricultural operators,thereby effectively improving the allocation efficiency of agricultural la

关 键 词：自然风险 农地 资源配置效率 风险应对 OP协方差 OLS模型 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]