长江经济带制造业与物流业发展的耦合协调关系及时空特征研究  

Study on Coupling Coordination and Spatial-temporal Characteristics of Manufacturing and Logistics Industry Development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：李诗珍[1] 王琲 Li Shizhen;Wang Bei(School of Economics and Management,Yangtze University,Jingzhou Hubei 434023)

机构地区：[1]长江大学经济与管理学院,湖北荆州434023

出　　处：《长江大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第3期59-68,共10页Journal of Yangtze University（Social Sciences Edition）

基　　金：湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究项目“湖北省制造业与物流业耦合协调的时空演化及融合共生路径研究”(20Y035)。

摘　　要：基于2012~2022年长江经济带11个省(市)的数据,构造耦合协调度模型探究制造业与物流业发展的耦合协调关系,利用空间自相关法分析两业耦合协调发展水平的空间分布特征及演变趋势。研究结果表明:(1)长江经济带2012~2022年制造业和物流业发展水平均呈波动上升趋势,但各省(市)空间异质性显著,江苏水平最高;(2)2012~2022年,长江经济带制造业与物流业耦合协调发展水平总体呈上升趋势,但整体增长速度缓慢,除江苏和浙江外,其他省(市)仍有很大提升空间;(3)长江经济带两业耦合协调发展水平存在显著的空间正相关性,且局部空间自相关表现为“高高”“低低”类型省(市)集聚分布,空间关联性较强。因此,需充分发挥长江经济带的区域资源优势,积极推进制造业与物流业的耦合协调发展。Based on the data of 11 provinces(cities)in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2022,the coupling coordination model is constructed to explore the coupling and coordination relationship between the manufacturing industry and logistics industry,and the spatial autocorrelation method is used to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of the level of the coupling and coordination of the two industries and the evolution trend.The research show that:(1)The development levels of manufacturing industry and logistics industry show a fluctuating upward trend,but the spatial heterogeneity of provinces and cities is significant;(2)From 2012 to 2022,the level of coupled and coordinated development of the manufacturing industry and logistics industry is generally on the rise,but the overall growth rate is slow,and there is still much room for improvement in other provinces and cities;(3)There is a significant positive spatial correlation between the coupled and coordinated development level of the two industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and the local spatial autocorrelation shows that the distribution of the“high-high”and“low-low”types of provinces and municipalities are clustered,and the spatial correlation is strong.Therefore,it is necessary to give full play to the regional resource advantages of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and actively promote the coupled and coordinated development of the manufacturing industry and logistics industry.

关 键 词：长江经济带 制造业 物流业 空间自相关 耦合协调度 

分 类 号：F221[经济管理—国民经济] F061.5