广西蚕桑产业的时空演变和集聚特征及影响因素研究  

Spatiotemporal Evolution,Agglomeration Characteristics and Influ⁃encing Factors of Silkworm Industry in Guangxi

作　　者：李春华 邹凌峰 廖勇 陈张晴 杜海鹏 周贤 罗明智 Li Chunhua;Zou Lingfeng;Liao Yong;Chen Zhanqing;Du Haipeng;Zhou Xian;Luo Mingzhi(School of Economics,Guangxi Minzu University,Nanning 530007,China;Digital Economy and Population Develop-ment Research Center,Guangxi Minzu University,Nanning 530007,China;Agricultural Information Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region,Nanning 530007,China;Sericultural Research Institute of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region,Nanning 530007,China)

机构地区：[1]广西民族大学经济学院,南宁530007 [2]广西民族大学数字经济与人口发展研究中心,南宁530007 [3]广西壮族自治区农业信息中心,南宁530007 [4]广西壮族自治区蚕业科学研究院,南宁530007

出　　处：《蚕业科学》2024年第2期164-174,共11页ACTA SERICOLOGICA SINICA

基　　金：广西民族大学校级科研项目(2020MDSKZD02);广西民族大学校级引进人才科研启动项目(2023SKQD17);西南地区蚕桑产业关键技术研究与应用示范项目(2023YFD1600900)。

摘　　要：广西蚕桑产业的发展对全国茧丝绸产业的发展具有举足轻重的作用。运用2000—2022年广西蚕茧产量和桑园面积数据探究广西全区蚕桑产业时空演变规律,并使用2011—2021年广西14个地级市的相关数据探究广西蚕桑产业的时空演变规律、集聚特征及其影响因素。结果显示,从全区来看广西蚕茧产量总体呈上升态势但桑园面积有所萎缩;分地级市来看,各地级市之间空间分布特征明显,并存在集聚效应。在蚕茧产量的影响因素方面,桑园面积和政府支持起到了显著的正向影响,城镇化水平起到显著的负向影响,且桑园面积和城镇化水平具有正向溢出效应。基于此,提出加强科技研发创新,确保广西蚕茧产量全国第一的位置;创新政策传导机制,发挥产业集聚效应;发挥有利因素的作用,合理利用不利因素的溢出效应等政策建议。The development of sericulture industry in Guangxi Province plays a pivotal role in the development of national cocoon and silk industry.In this paper,data of cocoon production and mulberry field area of Guangxi Province from 2000 to 2022 were used to explore the spatiotemporal evolution law of the sericulture industry in the whole region of Guangxi,and the relevant data of 14 prefecture-level cities in Guangxi from 2011 to 2021 were used to explore the spatiotemporal evolution law,agglomeration characteristics and influencing factors of the sericulture industry of the whole province.The results showed that,as a whole,the cocoon production of Guangxi was generally in an upward trend but the area of mul-berry field was shrinking.From the perspective of prefec-ture-level cities,the spatial distribution characteristics among prefecture-level cities were obvious,and there was agglomeration effect.In terms of influencing factors of cocoon yield,the area of mulberry field and govern-ment support had a significant positive impact,while the level of urbanization had a significant negative impact,and the area of mulberry field and the level of urbanization had a positive spillover effect.Based on this,this paper puts forward the following policy suggestions,that is,to strengthen scientific and technological research and innovation to ensure that cocoon production of Guangxi is in the first position in the country,to innovate the policy transmission mechanism and give full play to the industrial agglomeration effect,and to give play to the role of favorable factors and make reasonable use of the spillover effect of unfavorable factors.

关 键 词：蚕桑产业 蚕茧产量 桑园面积 产业集聚 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：S88-9[农业科学—特种经济动物饲养]