Belief reliability:a scientific exploration of reliability engineering  

作　　者：ZHANG Qingyuan LI Xiaoyang ZU Tianpei KANG Rui 

机构地区：[1]International Innovation Institute,Beihang University,Hangzhou 311115,China [2]Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering Laboratory,Beijing 100191,China [3]School of Reliability Engineering and Systems Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China [4]School of Aeronautic Science and Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China

出　　处：《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》2024年第3期619-643,共25页系统工程与电子技术（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62073009,52775020,72201013);the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2022M710314);the Funding of Science&Technology on Reliability&Environmental Engineering Laboratory(6142004210102)。

摘　　要：This paper systematically introduces and reviews a scientific exploration of reliability called the belief reliability.Beginning with the origin of reliability engineering,the problems of present theories for reliability engineering are summarized as a query,a dilemma,and a puzzle.Then,through philosophical reflection,we introduce the theoretical solutions given by belief reliability theory,including scientific principles,basic equations,reliability science experiments,and mathematical measures.The basic methods and technologies of belief reliability,namely,belief reliability analysis,function-oriented belief reliability design,belief reliability evaluation,and several newly developed methods and technologies are sequentially elaborated and overviewed.Based on the above investigations,we summarize the significance of belief reliability theory and make some prospects about future research,aiming to promote the development of reliability science and engineering.

关 键 词：belief reliability performance margin reliability experiment chance measure UNCERTAINTY 

分 类 号：TB114.3[理学—概率论与数理统计]