RCEP框架下关税减让对中国机电产品出口的影响研究——基于GTAP模拟分析  

Research on the Impact of Tariff Concessions on China's Mechanical and Electrical Product Exports under the RCEP Framework--Based on GTAP simulation analysis

作　　者：孟祥铭[1] 姜子淏 Meng Xiangming;Jiang Zihao(Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang Liaoning 110870)

机构地区：[1]沈阳工业大学,辽宁沈阳110870

出　　处：《对外经贸》2024年第6期20-25,共6页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅科学研究经费项目(项目编号:LJKR0070)。

摘　　要：机电产品是中国与RCEP成员国贸易往来中的重要出口产品,运用显示性比较优势指数、贸易竞争优势指数和贸易互补性指数,探讨2012—2022年中国与其他RCEP成员国机电产品的贸易竞争性和互补性。在此基础上,运用GTAP软件分析关税减让对中国机电产品出口的影响。研究发现:RCEP框架下关税减让有利于中国机电产品出口规模的扩大,且长期带来的效果比短期更显著;关税减让产生的贸易创造效应和贸易转移效应十分明显,具体表现为从RCEP域外国家转移至域内;关税减让对中国不同种类机电产品出口的影响有所不同,提出了加强汽车领域交流与合作,加快机电产业结构优化升级,制定差异化出口战略等对策建议。Mechanical and electrical products are important export products in China's trade with RCEP member countries.Using the Display Comparative Advantage Index,Trade Competitive Advantage Index,and Trade Complementarity Index,this study explores the trade competitiveness and complementarity of mechanical and electrical products between China and other RCEP member countries from 2012 to 2022.On this basis,GTAP software is used to analyze the impact of tariff reductions on China's exports of mechanical and electrical products.Research has found that under the RCEP framework,tariff reductions are beneficial for the expansion of China's mechanical and electrical product exports,and the long-term effects are more significant than in the short term;The trade creation effect and trade transfer effect generated by tariff reduction are very obvious,specifically manifested as the transfer from countries outside the RCEP region to within the RCEP region;The impact of tariff reductions on China's exports of different types of mechanical and electrical products varies.

关 键 词：RCEP 关税减让 机电产品 GTAP 

分 类 号：F426.4[经济管理—产业经济]