迈向高收入组别与社会结构转型  

March Toward High-income Status and the Structural Transformation of Society

作　　者：闫坤[1,2] 唐丹彤 Yan Kun;Tang Dantong(Faculty of Applied Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Bejing;School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院 [2]中国社会科学院日本研究所党委 [3]中国科学院大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《经济社会体制比较》2024年第3期61-72,共12页Comparative Economic & Social Systems

基　　金：国家社科基金社科学术社团主题学术活动资助项目“日本收入分配制度及其对中国推动共同富裕的政策启示研究”(项目编号:22STA034)。

摘　　要：随着全球经济格局的深刻调整,全球经济发展不确定性也在增加。我国正处于向高收入经济体迈进的关键阶段,文章以1996年至2019年全球18个成功迈入高收入组别的典型经济体为研究样本,结合我国当前内外部环境变化,实证检验了人口质量、收入分配结构以及城市化发展水平对人均国民总收入的影响。研究结果显示,释放人口质量红利和提高收入分配均衡程度,将推动人均国民总收入增长;城市化发展水平整体上与人均国民总收入呈倒U型关系。文章为支持我国的社会结构转型、推动国民收入水平实现跨越式发展提供理论支持。With the major changes in the global economic landscape and the increasing uncertainty of worldwide economic development,China is now at a critical stage of transitioning towards high-income status.This paper constructs a benchmark model to examine the impact of social structural transformation factors on national income per capita.The sample consists of country-specific data from 18 countries around the world from 1996 to 2019,combined with an analysis of changes in China's internal and external environment at the current stage.The study empirically tests the impact of population quality factors,income distribution structure,and urbanization development level on national income per capita.The findings indicate that the release of population quality dividends and the improvement of income distribution balance will promote the growth of national income per capita.Additionally,the level of urbanization development generally has an inverted U-shaped relationship with national income per capita.Based on these findings,the paper proposes policy recommendations to support China's social structural transformation and provide theoretical underpinnings for the country's leap towards a higher national income level.

关 键 词：人口质量红利 收入分配结构 城市化进程 社会结构转型 

分 类 号：F124.7[经济管理—世界经济]