中国式经济现代化的评价体系构建及实现路径  

Construction and Implementation Path of Evaluation System for Chinese Path to Economic Modernization

作　　者：罗玉辉 侯为民[2] 李邦旺 LUO Yuhuil;HOU Weimin;LI Bangwang(School of Marxism,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,Anhui;Institute of Marxism,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100372;School of Future Technology,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,Anhui)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学马克思主义学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]中国社会科学院马克思主义研究院,北京100372 [3]中国科学技术大学未来技术学院,安徽合肥230026

出　　处：《管理学刊》2024年第2期52-69,共18页Journal of Management

基　　金：中国社会科学院马工程重大项目(2021mgczd017)。

摘　　要：中国式经济现代化是立足“人口规模巨大”基本国情,实现社会主义最终目标“全体人民共同富裕”,构建“走和平发展道路”的国内国际双循环发展格局,同时兼顾“物质文明和精神文明相协调”“人与自然和谐共生”的经济高质量发展。本研究从定量数据测算和定性理论分析相结合的角度探究中国式经济现代化的实现路径,系统构建了经济发展、经济结构、经济公平、经济开放、经济安全的5个中国式经济现代化的一级指标,以及每个一级指标下细分10个三级指标的评价体系,通过熵权-TOPSIS法和障碍度模型,量化评估中国式经济现代化综合评分的动态变化趋势,明确进一步提升经济发展的主要关键阻碍。研究结果表明,2012—2021年中国式经济现代化发展稳中趋好且已取得丰硕成果,经济现代化水平依次历经了缓慢上升、短期低迷、加速上升的三个阶段。这期间影响中国式经济现代化的障碍因子已从经济发展、经济公平和经济结构因素,向经济开放和经济安全因素过渡,符合现阶段全球外部环境恶化和国内重点领域风险隐患增多的环境。最后,为焕发经济活性以助力经济恢复向好,结合实证分析提出,应推进高水平经济开放、畅通国内国际双循环,促进稳外贸和引外资、优化与国际社会的经济合作,重视经济安全和金融风险、守住安全底线等建议。Chinese path to economic modernization is a high-quality development of the economy,which is based on the basic national conditions of"a huge population",achieving the ultimate goal of socialism,"common prosperity for all people",and achieving a domestic and intermational dual cycle development pattern of"taking the path of peaceful development"At the same time,it also takes into account the high-quality economic development of""coordinated material and spiritual civilization"and"harmonious coexistence between humans and nature".This paper explores the realization path of Chinese path to modernization from the perspective of the combination of quantitative scoring measurement and qualitative theoretical analysis,and systematically constructs five first level indicators of China's economic modernization,namely,economic development,economic structure,economic fairness,economic openness,and economic security,as well as an evaluation system that subdivides 10 tertiary indicators under each primary indicator.Through the entropy weight TOPSIS method and the obstacle degree model,the dynamic change trend of the comprehensive economic score of Chinese path to modernization is quantitatively evaluated,and the main key obstacles to further improving economic development are identified.The research results indicate that China's economic modernization has steadily improved and achieved fruitful improvements from 2012 to 2021.The level of economic modernization has gone through three stages,the slowly rising period,the short-term downturn and the accelerating upward trend.During this period,the obstacle factors affecting China's economic modernization have transitioned from factors related to economic development,economic equity,and economic structural to factors related to economic openness and economic security.It is in line with the current background of global external environmental degradation and an increase in risks and hidden dangers in key domestic fields.Finally,this paper proposes the following relevant suggestions

关 键 词：中国式现代化 经济评价体系 熵权-TOPSIS法 障碍度模型 

分 类 号：F120[经济管理—世界经济]