论“戴维营体制”下的美日韩安全合作  

On Security Cooperation between the United States,Japan,and South Korea under the "Camp David System"

作　　者：顾全 Gu Quan

机构地区：[1]南京师范大学东亚国际问题研究中心,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《思想理论战线》2024年第2期97-112,141,共17页Front of Thought and Theory

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“日本‘非对称制华’海上战略研究”(20YJCGJW001)。

摘　　要：美国近年遏华大战略的鲜明特征与核心手段是基于现有双边同盟,新建及强化一批亚太三边伙伴机制。美日韩安全互助虽由来已久,但长年受制于日韩矛盾而发展迟缓、运行不畅。2023年以来,美日韩安全合作迅速复兴,并经史上首次单独举办的三边峰会推动,构建起崭新的“戴维营体制”,形成了保障立体性、常态化防务磋商与联动的制度框架。东北亚安全困境深化与美国推进“盟伴组网”固然是美日韩安全合作取得新进展的前提要素,但韩国外交路线的急剧调整及其促成的日韩关系改善才是“戴维营体制”诞生的关键原因。美国“领导力”的不确定性与日韩和解的不稳定性是三国安全合作的主要风险点,决定其发展上限只能是“准联盟”。但看似“脆弱”的美日韩“准联盟”仍可能产生诸多负面战略影响,我国需要高度警惕并密切跟踪相关动态趋势。The distinctive feature and core means of the United States' major strategy to contain China in recent years are based on existing bilateral alliances, the establishment and strengthening of a number of Asia Pacific trilateral partnership mechanisms. Although mutual security assistance between the United States, Japan, and South Korea has a long history, its development has been slow and its operation has not been smooth due to the long-standing conflict between Japan and South Korea. Since 2023,security cooperation between the United States, Japan, and South Korea has rapidly revived, and through the first trilateral summit held separately, a new“David Camp system”has been established, forming a three-dimensional and normalized institutional framework for defense consultation and linkage. The deepening of security dilemmas in Northeast Asia and the United States' promotion of“alliance partner networking”are undoubtedly prerequisites for new progress in security cooperation between the United States, Japan, and South Korea. However, the sharp adjustment of South Korea's diplomatic route and the improvement of Japan-South Korea relations are the key reasons for the birth of the“David Camp system”. The uncertainty of US leadership and the instability of reconciliation between Japan and South Korea are the main risk points for security cooperation among the three countries, which determines that its development limit can only be a quasi-alliance. However, the seemingly fragile“quasi-alliance”between the United States, Japan, and South Korea may still have many negative strategic impacts, and China needs to be highly vigilant and closely monitor relevant dynamic trends.

关 键 词：美日韩 三边主义 安全合作 准联盟 

分 类 号：D81[政治法律—国际关系]