长江干线武安段6 m水深航道整治工程航运经济效益评估  

Evaluation on navigation economic benefits of 6-meter-deep waterway regulation project in Wu an section of the Yangtze River main line

作　　者：赵振 董鸿瑜 许鹏 陈洁 李蕾 孙辉 ZHAO Zhen;DONG Hongyu;XU Peng;CHEN Jie;LI Lei;SUN Hui(Shipping Development Research Center of Yangtze River,Wuhan 430014,China;Changjinag Waterway Institute of Planning and Design,Wuhan 430040,China;Three Gorges Navigation Authority,Yichang 443000,China)

机构地区：[1]长江航运发展研究中心,湖北武汉430014 [2]长江航道规划设计研究院,湖北武汉430040 [3]长江三峡通航管理局,湖北宜昌443000

出　　处：《水运工程》2024年第6期142-147,169,共7页Port & Waterway Engineering

摘　　要：武安段6 m水深航道整治工程建成后,万吨级江海船舶可常年直达武汉,航运经济效益十分显著。以散杂货为代表船舶,按照有无对比、实际发生原则,基于2018—2022年武安段通航统计数据,科学评估武安段航道货运量和船舶结构,并在此基础上构建航运经济效益定量计算模型,对武安段实施后航运经济效益进行评估。经测算,2022年武安段散杂货船产生的航运经济效益达4.84亿元,超过工程设计阶段的预期目标。研究不仅可用于确定工程主要经济效益指标是否实现,为工程后评估提供重要参考,还有利于指导航道工程项目的投资和管理,为推进相关项目计划和政策优化提供依据。After the completion of the 6-meter-deep waterway regulation project in Wu an section,10,000-ton river and sea ships can pass through Wuhan throughout the year,and the economic benefit of shipping is very significant.Taking bulk cargo as a representative ship,this paper scientifically evaluates the freight volume and ship structure of Wu an section based on the statistical data of Wu an section from 2018 to 2022 in accordance with the principle of“with and without”and actual occurrence.On this basis,the quantitative calculation model of shipping economic benefit is built to evaluate the shipping economic benefit after the implementation of Wu an section.It is estimated that in 2022,the shipping economic benefit of wu an section bulk carriers will reach 484 million yuan,exceeding the expected target of the engineering design stage.The research can not only be used to determine whether the main economic benefit indicators of the project are realized,and provide an important reference for the post-project evaluation,but also help to guide the investment and management of waterway engineering projects,and provide a basis for promoting the optimization of relevant project plans and policies.

关 键 词：武安段工程 散杂货船 有无对比法 航运经济效益 定量评估 

分 类 号：U651[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]