意愿与能力结合下中国流动人口住房租购需求——285个地级以上城市差异特性及城市和个体交互影响  

HOUSING TENURE DEMAND OF URBAN MIGRANT POPULATION IN CHINA BASED ON THE COMBINATION OF WILLINGNESS AND ABILITY:DIFFERENCES AMONG 285 CITIES AND INTERACTION EFFECTS OF CITIES AND INDIVIDUALS

作　　者：柴康妮 王宇凡[2] 冯长春[3,4] CHAI Kangni;WANG Yufan;FENG Changchun

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院 [2]北京大学纪检监察机构办公室 [3]北京大学城市与环境学院 [4]中国城市规划学会常务理事和流域空间规划分会

出　　处：《城市规划》2024年第6期47-58,共12页City Planning Review

基　　金：首都经济贸易大学北京市属高校基本科研业务费专项资金(XRZ2023008)资助。

摘　　要：基于全国流动人口动态监测调查数据和城市数据,综合主观购房意愿和购房支付能力,构建流动人口多元化住房租购需求类型,探究其在285个城市间的空间格局,分析城市和个体两个层面的影响因素及二者的交互效应。研究发现,流动人口住房租购需求空间分异明显,东南沿海大城市带的流动人口租房需求旺盛,黄土高原和西南地区的流动人口有较强购房意愿但缺乏支付能力。城市和个体因素均产生了影响。流动人口在经济发达的城市租房需求较高,在公共服务完善的城市购房需求较高;定居意愿、在婚状态、家庭迁移和不稳定就业促进了购房需求;跨省流动、乡城流动、年龄、就业状况等个体因素的作用因城市因素而异。研究结果深化拓展了对流动人口住房需求的认识,为合理解决新市民住房问题提供依据。Based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey and city data,this paper specifies the diversified housing tenure demands of the migrant population by taking both their willingness and ability to purchase housing into account.The spatial patterns among 285 cities are explored,and the influencing factors at both city-and individual-levels as well as their interaction effects are investigated.The results show that the housing tenure demands of the migrant population show a significant spatial differentiation.Migrants in the southeastern coastal urban agglomerations have strong demands for housing leasing.Migrants in the Loess Plateau and southwestern regions have strong needs for homeownership but lack the ability to afford it.Both city-and individual-level factors have impacts on the housing tenure demands of the migrant population. The migrants in economically developed cities cities have higher demands for rental housing, while those in cities with better public services have higher demands for homeownership. The willingness to settle down, being married, family migration, and unstable employment contribute to the demand for homeownership. The role of individual-level actors such as the migration across provinces and that between urban and rural areas, age, and employment status, varies with the differentiation of city-level factors. The research results deepen and expand the understanding of migrant population’s housing demand and provide a basis for rationally solving the housing issues of the new citizens.

关 键 词：流动人口 住房需求 空间分异 多层logistic模型 

分 类 号：TU984.12[建筑科学—城市规划与设计] F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]