Evolution and Determinants of Population Agglomeration in Less Developed Metropolitan Areas:A Case Study of the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area,China  

作　　者：QIN Zhiqin LIANG Ye AN Shuwei DOU Yongjing 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Management,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030031,China [2]School of Urban Economics and Public Affairs,Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070,China [3]School of Geography Science,Taiyuan Normal University,Jinzhong 030619,China

出　　处：《Chinese Geographical Science》2024年第4期739-751,共13页中国地理科学（英文版）

基　　金：Under the auspices of the Humanities and Social Sciences Fund of the Ministry of Education of China (No.20YJC790107);Planning Project for Philosophy and Social Sciences of Shanxi Province (No.2021YJ040);Special Foundation for Science and Development of Shanxi Province (No.202204031401052)。

摘　　要：It is of importance to enhance the urban areas'capacity for population aggregation in underdeveloped regions,aiming to rectify the imbalanced and insufficient pattern of economic development in China.Taking the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA)in central China as a case study,this paper examines the evolutionary process and characteristics of population agglomeration from 2000 to 2020,and identifies factors associated with agglomeration and their spatial effects.The findings indicated that:1)against the background of sustained population shrinkage in the provincial area,the TMA showed a demographic trend of steady increase,albeit with a decelerated growth rate.In the metropolitan area,urban population size continued to grow rapidly,whereas the rural areas endured sustained losses.Disparities in city size continued to widen,and the polarization of concentrated population in the core cities kept increasing.2)Agglomerations in both secondary and service industries had significant positive effects on local population agglomeration,with the former effect being stronger.Regional economic development,government fiscal expenditure,and financial advancement all contributed to facilitating local population clustering.From a spatial spillover perspective,service agglomeration and financial development promoted population agglomeration in surrounding areas.Conversely,fiscal expenditure inhibited such agglomeration.As for industrial agglomeration and regional economic development,their spatial spillover effects were non-significant.The results obtained reveal several policy implications aimed at enhancing the population agglomeration capacity of the metropolitan area in underdeveloped regions during the new era.

关 键 词：population agglomeration population shrinkage spatial spillover effects Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA) China 

分 类 号：C924.2[社会学—人口学] TU982.2[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]